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April 2025 Bangkok Trip Report

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Posted
1 hour ago, PeterRS said:

Second, in general terms, they are not fighting each other.

Well, actually they do - local elites control local "armies" - I prefer to name them "gangs". And by hands of these gangs they are fighting not only with central government, but also each other for to control local natural resources: gems and so on. 

1 hour ago, PeterRS said:

Fifth, in general one reason for the country's problems is the result of the utterly disastrous rule by the British.

+1000

Posted
1 hour ago, PeterRS said:

will be liable to be called up to serve in the national army

... or forced to fight on the side of local gangs "for the freedom and democracy" - read it as "for rights of local elites to control local resources".

(additional comment) That why so many Burmese flee from country - they don't want to take ether side, because they know: it isn't war for real democracy, it is war for who will control resources.

Posted
2 hours ago, PeterRS said:

Even once the junta is despatched - if ever Russia, China and other players allow that to happen - there is absolutely no one presently in the country who could unify it.

And that exactly means what junta is currently the only power in Myanmar which keeps Myanmar as a solid state.

Posted
1 hour ago, Moses said:

Well, actually they do - local elites control local "armies" - I prefer to name them "gangs". And by hands of these gangs they are fighting not only with central government, but also each other for to control local natural resources: gems and so on. 

Some like the Arakan Army are highly professional and are beating the Myanmar military every day. Others fit your description better, gangs controlled by local drug lords.

Posted
10 hours ago, Marc in Calif said:

I hope you're not trying to say that they are NOT  'well-educated' based on your discussions with them. It's very likely that they could  have answered your questions. They just didn't want  to discuss political questions with you, a foreigner whom they'd never met before.

They also didn't want to answer your political questions in front of three other guys from Myanmar at the same table. 

Would you (a white man) have asked a Thai guy what he truly thinks of the king, the government and the security forces -- in front of other Thai guys? There's your answer. ☺️

Your response is exactly the kind of patronizing, overly sensitive attitude that has led to the growing backlash against “woke” thinking around the world. You’re so preoccupied with optics and imagined offenses that you’ve overlooked the actual substance of the discussion.

Suggesting that someone shouldn’t even attempt a conversation because of their nationality is not only intellectually lazy—it’s hypocritical. You accuse others of being intrusive for asking questions, yet you feel perfectly entitled to project motives, judge intent, and shut down dialogue without any real evidence. That’s not empathy; it’s self-righteous gatekeeping.

Not every interaction needs to be wrapped in layers of ideological overanalysis. Sometimes people simply avoid tough questions because they don’t know how to answer—or don’t want to expose a lack of critical thought. Stop pretending it’s always about some grand power dynamic. This mindset is exactly why so many are tuning out of these tedious, over-politicized narratives.

Posted
18 hours ago, bkkmfj2648 said:

They are very nice guys - but too twinky and kind of feminine for my tastes - so I did not wait until 3am to take one home - as the American owner does not let them be offed during the operating hours of the bar.

 

Agree that the Myanmar guys are nice. I know one who moved to work in Freshboys. Very good looking! 🥰🥰🥰

Posted
3 hours ago, PeterRS said:

That is another wholly inaccurate statement. The Chinese Civil War started in 1927 and continued with a short WWII break until the communists won in 1949. Communism in China was a fact 13 years before the 1962 military coup.

I have to disagree with your assessment. While it’s true that the Chinese Civil War technically ended in 1949 (lets just go with the conventional view here), its consequences certainly did not. In fact, the presence of the KMT in Burma after their defeat by the Communists was a crucial factor that shaped the military dynamics in Myanmar, directly influencing the events leading up to the 1962 coup. My line of argument is about how the presence of the KMT built the capacity and the mindset of the tatmadaw, that was until the 1950s nothing more than a colonial constabulary force.

In 1950, thousands of KMT troops, rather than surrendering, fled into Burma’s Shan State, where they established bases and created an extraterritorial military presence. These KMT forces, under General Li Mi, were effectively running their own mini-state on Burmese soil. The Tatmadaw, under General Ne Win, was forced to confront this violation of Burma’s sovereignty head-on, despite already being stretched thin by internal rebellions. This wasn’t just a border skirmish; it was a serious conflict that lasted years, forcing the Tatmadaw to adapt rapidly. The military was no longer just fighting insurgents—it was gaining valuable experience in counterinsurgency and modern warfare, learning how to coordinate large-scale operations in difficult terrain, and effectively building the institutional capacity that would later allow it to seize power.

By the mid-1950s, the Tatmadaw had become a battle-hardened force with growing confidence. The military’s success against the KMT reinforced its role as the “protector of the nation,” a narrative that solidified its increasing political power. The military’s victories, especially the success of Operation Bayintnaung, gave the Tatmadaw significant prestige and positioned it as the only institution capable of holding Myanmar together, particularly in contrast to the feckless civilian government, which failed to deliver on critical issues like security and ethnic autonomy.

Your argument about the Panglong Agreement is valid, but it overlooks the critical role the KMT conflict played in shaping the Tatmadaw’s power. The military’s victories against the KMT—backed by foreign powers—directly contributed to its belief that it alone could guarantee Myanmar’s survival. By the time the Panglong Agreement was undermined, the military had already consolidated significant political and military power, and had little trust in the civilian government’s ability to manage the country.

The KMT issue did more than just create military tensions—it was the crucible in which the modern Myanmar military was forged. This conflict set the stage for the 1962 coup by giving the military both the confidence and the institutional power it needed to take over. While the army may have used the Panglong Agreement as a convenient excuse, its real motivation was the military’s own growing belief that civilian leadership was ineffectual and incapable of safeguarding the nation.

Whole former KMT villages remain on Thai soil and to this day there is a strong Taiwanese presence in Myanmar.
 

3 hours ago, PeterRS said:

But even to suggest "it is misleading that colonialism is the sole or even the primary cause of the current predicament" is absolutely untrue! It is the primary truth! Do you really know anything about Myanmar before and during the British colonial era? Are you aware that the British tore the country apart in terms of governance, economics and religion - all for profit of the British. Are you aware of King Mindon's major reforms for the country which effectively made it the most powerful monarchy in South-East Asia? Are you aware that in the three wars against the British, Mindon's successor Thibaw in the capital Mandalay was so concerned about the British bringing vast numbers of Indians into the lower part of the country they then controlled, that he asked the French for help in getting the British out? Are you aware that Randolph Churchill, Winston's father and at that time Britain's Secretary of State for India, was so infuriated by this he ordered 10,000 British troops to sail up the Irrawaddy and dethrone Thibaw who became Burma's last king?

I am very familiar with everything you write here. I have even visited Ratnagiri in India to pay my respects at King Thibaw’s tomb there. Where we differ is in the interpretation of those events.
 

 

3 hours ago, PeterRS said:

That is just not true! The military conscription law covers all males between 18 and 35 - and is likely to have the upper age limit further extended.

We both agree about the law. However, my argument was not about the formal reach of the law itself but how it is being implemented. A disproportionate number of working class youths are being pressed into conscription as whatever formal system to organize this has already broken down. The Irrawaddy and Frontier confirms as much. Middle class youths have other avenues to evade. Through bribes and their families connections. Nothing is new under the sun. 

Posted

Why have a report on the boys of BKK became a history lesson 😵‍💫😵‍💫😵‍💫

Can we move the discussion on the effects of colonialism to another thread 😅

Reports on whoring is always more entertaining 🤭

Posted
1 hour ago, Raposa said:

I have to disagree with your assessment. While it’s true that the Chinese Civil War technically ended in 1949 (lets just go with the conventional view here), its consequences certainly did not. In fact, the presence of the KMT in Burma after their defeat by the Communists was a crucial factor that shaped the military dynamics in Myanmar, directly influencing the events leading up to the 1962 coup. My line of argument is about how the presence of the KMT built the capacity and the mindset of the tatmadaw, that was until the 1950s nothing more than a colonial constabulary force

Yes, the remains of the KMT in Yunnan which were unable to flee with Chiang Kai Shek to Taiwan did cross into Burma's Shan State in 1950 and were supported by the USA through the CIA, the ROC from Taiwan and Thailand. But they were not welcomed by the Burmese military, the Tadmadaw. One reason for its anger was the KMT had become involved in the lucrative opium trade. Another was its presence on the border with China compromised Burma's declared policy of neutrality.

Having refused to depart the country after many requests to do so, in 1953 the Tadmadaw launched  Operation Nagar Naing against the KMT forces. This resulted in a defeat at the hands of the KMT forces. The Burma government then complained to the United Nations about the KMT invasion of its territory. The UN told the KMT to withdraw. They did not. Like Chiang in Taiwan, those KMT forces in Burma intended to build up their forces and then help to invade communist China. Early in the following year in Operation Bayintnaung, though, the Burmese army managed to force much of the KMT out of the country into Thailand. That May these KMT forces were flown from Chiang Rai to Taiwan.

About 6,000 KMT forces remained in Burma, but merely a rump of those who had invaded. Most of these remained on the Shan State border with Thailand  - and sometimes across that border. Some have argued, as @Raposa has, that this group helped build the Burmese army into a true army that enabled the 1962 coup. But far from all agree with this. Some commentators have argued strongly that this is based on propaganda emanating from Taiwan. Having looked at various sources and their authors, I believe in this propaganda theory.

Posted
9 hours ago, bkkmfj2648 said:

Thank you to @PeterRS and @Moses to shed some light on the causes for this internal Myanmar strife and never ending civil war.

Do either of you think that in our lifetime (I am already 63) that we will see a form of peace that would allow us to vacation in Myanmar again? 

This is one of my bucket list dreams.

A Guide To Bagan, Myanmar's Hot Air Balloons

you still can go as Christian PFC attested, he was there in January/ February

ChristianPFC - Adventures in Thailand: Myanmar Jan2025 general observations

Posted
3 hours ago, Raposa said:

We both agree about the law. However, my argument was not about the formal reach of the law itself but how it is being implemented. A disproportionate number of working class youths are being pressed into conscription as whatever formal system to organize this has already broken down. The Irrawaddy and Frontier confirms as much. Middle class youths have other avenues to evade. Through bribes and their families connections. Nothing is new under the sun. 

Indeed, 

I grew up in place with then  universal conscription since discontinued. And yet I remember one veteran colonel saying " I saw  everything in army but yet I 'm to see doctor's son being drafted "

Posted

What learned people we are lucky enough to have on this forum. Thank you for your Burmese history lessons. Much appreciated.

Just goes to show that there is never only one version of history, but it is always good to find a common narrative, where possible. No one interpretation of historical events is ever 100% correct.

Back to the whoring........

Looking forward to the next instalment from CallMeLee.......

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