stevenkesslar

Shame on you. I think they make a lovely couple. One is a cocksucker, and another is an asshole. The sex should be awesome.

Good point. The history of leaders who served their nation into their 70's, 80's and even 90's is a trail of disaster. Queen of England until age 96 Konrad Adenauer. German Chancellor. Served 14 years until 87. Died at 91. Shimon Peres, President of Israel for 7 years, until aged 91. Died age 93. Yuri Andropov. General Secretary of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union. Died while serving for 15 months until his death at 69. Konstantin Chernenko, Succeeded Andropov as General Secretary of the Soviet Union. Died while serving for about a year at age 73. I dunno @Moses. Maybe Russian leaders are just unlucky. England loved their Queen, and misses her. She never missed a beat. (Or, if she did, it was when Di died when the Queen was in her early 70's.) Adenauer cheated fate. But he did have to take naps in the afternoon by the end of his long run. He was always going to be the model for how it worked for Biden. Or not. So far, Biden has held up better than Andropov. Or Chernenko. But, given your experience, I can see why you would say 69 is too old to lead Russia. Or 73. How old is Vlad, by the way? 😉 Granted. Joe Biden is no Ronald Reagan, when it comes to public speaking. I think Joe Biden is Ronald Reagan, when it comes to standing up to the USSR or Russia. I don't think "I will not bow down" to Putin will work out badly for Biden. Americans agree with Biden. Bowing down to Putin is unacceptable. Btw, I kept thinking watching the speech how young and vibrant Kamala looks. And there is something about the idea of having a First Gentleman that I really like. Doug is classy. However it plays out for Biden's health, I won't be unhappy if she is the next US leader to stand behind that podium.

Four charts that tell the same story from two different perspectives: That one supports your argument. There is clearly economic improvement since Vlad took over. I'd argue it's the opposite of what you said. It's not that individuals give something up for the collective nation to be better. It's that individuals are okay with Russia becoming a mess and a pariah. Because at least their own lives are a little better. Not sure the families of all the Russians being turned into fertilizer in Ukraine feel that way, though. Let's have a Russian TV show where they get to speak honestly. You keep wanting to bring up 1945. If the US fucked up, I think the big fuck up was the 1990's. I don't blame Russians for associating the 1990's with chaos, and democracy with bad times. Whether the 1990's in Russia was really democracy is a huge debate. Russians have told me that even if there had been a global Marshall Plan for Russia in the 1990s, it never would have worked under Yeltsin or Putin and the current corrupt system. I don't know. But the US and Europe didn't even try. We took the victory lap, extended the borders of NATO, and then invaded Iraq. That was our big fuck up, in my mind. And we have paid a huge price for it. But, again, once Putin took over, Russians I have spoken with say this course was set. Historians will debate that forever. But whatever price the US paid for our fuck ups, it is not anything like the price Russians have paid. Trends in Chinese and Russian GDP growth since 1989 (in constant $US million) That last chart is the share of the global economy each country has. Translation: Russia doesn't matter. In the global economy, you're an afterthought. If India and China can get cheap gas from you, and if you can buy bullets and drones from Krazy Kim and Iran so you can kill and rape Ukrainians, and if Ukraine can get cheap fertilizer from you by turning your people into grass, that is just what Russia is in the world today. Thank Putin for that. Some leader! What an economy! Now everybody thinks of him as the guy who will nuke us if he gets pissed off at us stopping his rape and genocide. What a guy! Of course, those bottom three images are distortions, based on population. China has so many more people than either Russia or the US. But that's the whole point. All those US and European corporations that wanted into China for its cheap labor and markets were not wrong. It is the ultimate story of how global capitalism won. It lifted a billion people out of poverty and hunger. Even if it didn't work out quite as the US hoped, in terms of democracy, I am proud of what the US and China did. (The Americans who live in factory towns and lost their jobs are not.) This is not a not a bad outcome for China, or the US, or the nations of Asia. As long as we can keep the peace, and stay in guard rails as we compete. Russia is the geopolitical loser. You used to be #2. Never economically. But you were a rival superpower. Now you're an afterthought. The only good thing about Russia invading Ukraine is it almost certainly has made it clear to China that invading Taiwan would be an economic, political, and military disaster. Which is pretty much what the US proved to itself by invading Iraq. The US had its unipolar moment, and totally fucked it up in Iraq. Lesson: it's probably better for peace to have a multipolar world. I'd rather have China than Russia as a global competitor (or partner) any day of the week. They have proven, as those charts show, they can grow an economy. They can build electric cars and solar panels and innovative new technologies. Putin proves every day he can steal money. And start wars. And murder opponents. And let his soldiers kill and rape and torture and depopulate countries before they are turned into fertilizer. No one in the world wants more of that. There used to be a good argument (in the US, John Mearsheimer still makes it, Henry Kissinger used to) that we should be aligning with Russia to balance against China. Ukraine ended that idea for the rest of Putin's reign. And probably the rest of our lifetimes. Americans want nothing to do with Russia. The ones who support Trump aren't pro-Russia. They are pro-isolation. And that has never won, for long at least, in US history. It's a reason Biden will likely win. When Americans are reminded of Ronald Reagan's doctrine of defending allies (no surprise Crazy Biden quoted Reagan last night, "Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall"), 2 in 3 want to send weapons to Ukraine. Even many of the Republicans blocking the aid want to send it, and know it is really a short term political fight in the US. So it's a good year for Vlad. He'll win his fake election. He killed Navalny for good. Tucker came all the way to Russia to suck his cock and fawn over him. His economy grew a little. There are plenty of Russians, so far, to send to Ukraine to become fertilizer. And people don't care that the rest of the world looks down on you. You can call that a tactical victory if you want. Woo hoo! But if you are not clear the Putin lost the economic, political, and military war a long time ago, and Ukraine is one of the results of that loss, you're just not clear about history. China won. The US won. Sorry. I don't think Russia won. Vlad just gets to be Master Xi's pit bull. If he can actually manage to bite and kill. Vlad's getting up there in years, too. Desperate genocidal sadists do desperate things That's the chapter we are in now. We really don't know how it ends. But I think we do know however it ends, it won't be good for Russia. It's not really good for Russia right now. I suspect most Russians know that, in addition to all the Russians who fled. But they tolerate it since they have no choice in the matter.

We completely agree on this one. Putin doesn't speak about genocide. Or mass murder. Or sadism. Or cruelty. Or putting a bullet in your head. Or poisoning you. Or turning you into fertilizer. He just does it.

Granted, Biden is a mental catastrophe. But when I looked up the Atlantic Council's most recent projection of what the world looks like ten years out, here is what "experts" said about whether the US will be the dominant power in each of these areas in 2034: US is world's dominant military power in a decade: 81 % say yes in 2023, up from 71 % in 2022. US is world's dominant power in technological innovation in a decade: 63 % say yes in 2023, up from 54 % in 2022. US is world's dominant economic power in a decade: 52 % say yes, up from 33 % in 2022. US is world's dominant diplomatic power in a decade: 32 % say yes, up from 31 % in 2022. I'm so sorry. Nobody thinks Russia will be the world's dominant military, economic, diplomatic, or technological power in a decade. Many think Russia will break up by then. So sorry. But look on the bright side. You'll still be the best at turning your people into fertilizer. So we know for sure Biden will not be POTUS, or even alive, in a decade. So maybe this has nothing to do with Biden. Seeing as how he is a mental catastrophe. But it is interesting that we call out Vlad for genocide, and back Ukraine, and revitalize a global coalition with a good purpose. And suddenly people think the US will be even stronger militarily long term. We start building out cutting edge new technologies with federal subsidies. And suddenly people think the US may actually still be the world's economic and technological leader in a decade. But that has NOTHING to do with Biden, right? Of course, most of those people making projections are US or European experts. So you could argue they are biased. But they made the same less optimistic (about the US) projections in 2022. Maybe Biden isn't such a catastrophe after all. Please ask Vlad and Tucker for us. They are always right about everything.

Thank you for being so kind, @Moses. But obviously it's not my glasses. It's my dementia. 🤪 Oh, and by the way. Your English is great, as a second language. But it's "your" glasses.

Again, please try to stay in the 21st century. And let's focus on the mass murder and genocide happening right now. If you want to call out Israel, good for you. Would you like to be fertilizer, @Moses? Or maybe shot in the head? Or fall out a window? Or fly in an airplane that happens to explode? Because if you don't mind taking one for the anti-genocide team, I have a great idea. Go on Russian TV and pretend you are Michael Moore. You of course know Russia better than me. But I'm guessing you would not be allowed on Russian TV to say things like that. And, if you somehow did, prison time would be the kindest way Vlad dealt with it. Or maybe he just has your brains blown out in some alleyway or bridge. But that's exactly the point. We do fight about these things in the US. we had huge fights about Iraq. One nice thing about Trump is he has moved many Americans, especially Republicans, away from the idea of invading a country just because it is there. US soldiers did not rape Iraqi women and children. They did torture some terrorists. The public outcry against it, which helped Obama defeat W in 2008, is well documented. But before we even get there, we have to talk about the mass public opposition to starting the Iraq War in the first place. I know that one well. I was emphatically opposed. My college professor and community organizing mentor, Paul Wellstone, a Jew and later a US Senator, was the only incumbent US Senator running for re-election in 2002 to vote against the war. Way too many Democrats, in Biden, lined up behind W in supporting that war. But there was a very strong opposition to the Iraq war. The US House approved it 2 to 1. But as a Democrat at least I can say that Democrats voted AGAINST that war 126 to 81. Had Democrats been in charge, the Iraq War never would have happened. We didn't know that when W. won the election in 2000 by a hanging chad! We lost. We lost both the fight to prevent the war, and the war itself. So, yeah, the US fucked up. That was then. This is now. Are you gonna go on Russian TV and tell Putin to stop the current genocide? Can you tell us about all the things happening in Russia from opponents of the genocide in Ukraine? Other than the fact that they are getting the fuck out of Russia, before Vlad jails them or turns them into fertilizer? Come on, @Moses. Have some balls, like Michael Moore and Paul Wellstone. Go on Russian TV and call out your genocidal monster leader for the genocide, rape, torture, and mass murder of Ukrainian men, women, and children. And tell him to stop turning hundreds of thousands of his own people into fertilizer. Again, have to point out a very important difference. The US invasion of Iraq was an unprovoked attack, in my mind. But the US did not kill "hundreds of thousands" of Iraqis. One of many reasons that war was a predictable disaster is that it would = and did - unleash a religious and sectarian bloodbath between Iraqis, who tortured and killed each other. You can blame the US for starting that. But it was Iraqis killing each other. That's not happening in Ukraine. All those dead Ukrainian men, women, and children were killed, raped, and/or tortured by Russian soldiers. But you keep confirming my point. You keep bringing up what the US did in 1945 or 1968 or 2022 to avoid the genocidal mass murder your genocidal sadist is conducting right now. The polls suggest most Russians think exactly like you. They are in denial about the truth. Thanks to Vlad's propaganda. Or worse. You support and respect Putin and his sadism and genocide.

Actually, yes! For sure. Bibi Netanyahu fits the bill as a genocidal sadist. There you have it. Two mass murdering genocidal sadists. Soul mates. If you count soldiers, Murderous Vlad has been a much more efficient genocidal sadist than Bibi The Butcher. I'll use Zelenskyy's numbers, which I have no way to verify. He claims 180,000 dead Russian soldiers, as opposed to 30,000 dead Ukrainian soldiers. Whatever number you want to use, Bibi The Butcher just doesn't measure up to the sheer sadism and mass murder of your genocidal sadist. Is it actually GENOCIDE when Vlad turns hundreds of thousands of Russians into fertilizer? Probably not. That's just mass murder and cruelty. And a sadistic kleptocrat who wants his power and money. When we get to women and children, I'd just say Murderous Vlad and Bibi The Butcher are deeply evil and sadistic men. They deserve to be chained together and burn in hell forever. The UN said last year that over 10,000 civilians were killed by Russians in Ukraine. Many were tortured and raped. But those are based on verified numbers that everyone using them keeps saying is lowball. In Gaza the number is now well over 30,000, of which about 2 in 3 are women and children. Although those come from Hamas, and you can make an argument that Hamas inflates them. Either way, it is a vicious sadistic bloodbath. And we can thank Murderous Vlad and Bibi The Butcher for it. I can say this without being shot in the head or turned into fertilizer. Russians can't. The other difference is that I never read a story about how Ukrainians invaded Russia and killed 1200 or so of you. Including whole families where they burned babies alive. All the evil and sick sadism is being conducted by Vlad's Russian soldiers. Who rape and torture women and children. So Israel, like the US after 9/11, at least has the legitimate argument of self defense. Vlad's argument is he unleashed genocide in Ukraine to protect a country with a Jewish President from Nazis. Whatever! He's an evil, sick man. As far as "Genocide Joe" goes, a few points. First, in the US you can call Biden "Genocide Joe" and not end up being shot in the head, or poisoned, or fertilizer. You can't do that in Russia. You can pretend you are Rashida Tlaib and go organize a protest against Murderous Vlad and you'll go to prison. Or be turned into grass that cows shit on. Second, most of the world agrees that Israel has a right to defend itself from a terrorist group that wants Israel, and Jews, to no longer exist. And they just proved it with a vicious attack. Third, regardless, I'm one of the apparent majority among Democrats who feel Bibi the Butcher has gone way too far. Israel is quickly becoming Apartheid World in the eyes of many Democrats. And Jews, or Israeli Jews, are now The Genocide People in the eyes of a relatively small minority of left wing progressives. We can have an honest debate about it in the US. You can't in Russia. If Biden loses in 2024, all the evidence and polls are that the most likely reason is that he is seen as "Genocide Joe". And some relatively small number of do gooders and peaceniks he desperately needs to win just won't vote for him, on principle. I don't think it will happen. In part because everybody with a brain knows Trump would be far more tolerant of Bibi The Butcher slaughtering hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of Palestinians. But I totally agree with you this is a big problem for the US, and the world. But you don't have that problem. Vlad will win. He just assassinated his main opponent. And Vlad won't even let people go to a funeral. He's an evil, sick man. There is no equivalent debate, or honesty, in Russia. @unicorn made a good case that there can't be, because all or most Russians are victims. I am a bit less sympathetic. What you express here is what a majority of Russians say in polls. You support Putin, and his sadism and mass murder and genocide. You confirm your support every time you post.

No. Buildings are not propaganda. Your genocidal sadist killed tens of thousands of Ukrainians. The UN and Human Rights groups around the world decry the mass murder, torture, rape, cruelty, and sadism that your genocidal monster unleashed. Is any of THAT not clear to you? It has nothing to do with buildings. Either you understand sadism and mass murder, or you don't. You don't. That is the propaganda. Again, I don't blame you. No one wants a bullet in their head. Or poison in their body. Or to be turned into fertilizer. Which is Vlad's way of shutting people up and conducting genocide. Saying there are now new buildings where there was mass murder, genocide, rape, torture, cruelty and sadism, and so therefore nothing ever happened, would be like saying, "Look! We had a Black US President, who was a Democrat. Look! Trump may choose a Black Republican US Senator as his Veep. Therefore, the US does not have a race problem and never did. Slavery never existed. There is no racism." And there are deniers in the US who push it that far. You want to deny Vlad's genocide, mass murder, rape, torture, cruelty, and sadism. I get it.

Exactly. Vlad's propaganda about his genocide and mass murder.

Proves my point. Your genocidal sadist has you brainwashed. Btw, 9 out of 10 doctors surveyed saying being brainwashed is better than being turned into fertilizer. You made a good choice. UN rights chief deplores Ukraine death toll one year after Russian invasion Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer.

I knew that would give you a rise, buddy. I put it in there just for you. Trolls are just way too predictable!

Do you yourself observe reality? About how your genocidal sadist has made Russia the pariah of the world? Oh! But he is building a wonderful economy. So wonderful that, increasingly, its chief function is to kill, commit genocide, and turn its own people into fertilizer. Woo hoo! Oh, and let's not forget about oppressing The Gays. Perverts! Oh, wait. My bad. I forgot. The US is the genocidal monster and I am just brainwashed by the US genocidal media. Everyone else loves Russia. Especially Master Xi. And let's not forget Bangladesh! How Is Russia Viewed Around The World. Master Xi loves his murderous pit bull. Master Xi will love his murderous pit bull as long as he can get cheap oil and gas and he behaves. Master Xi loves peace and hates genocide and being bad to children. But, hey. When you own a murderous sadistic pit bull, whadaya gonna do? Problem is Master Xi is gradually turning the vibrant and growing economy he took over a long time ago into a stagnant mess. So Master Xi needs the West and the capitalist world. Who could have seen that coming? Russia is an asterisk in the global economy, and Master Xi knows that. And the capitalist world thinks Master Xi's murderous sadistic pit bull needs to be put down. Frankly, since you and I can be blunt with each other, Master Xi has to be pretty fucking unhappy with his murderous pit bull. Public appearances aside, of course. The Atlantic Council's survey of experts shows the percentage thinking China will try to take Taiwan by force in the next decade went from 71 % last year to 50 % this year. Meanwhile, the percent who think the US will be the world's dominant economic power in 2034 went from 33 % in 2022 to 52 % in 2023. Obviously, Dementia Joe Biden (not to mention Silicon Valley and capitalism) is bad for America! Here's what the Atlantic Council says: Ya think? These think tanks are polite. So they didn't bring up the part about how Vlad processes his own people into fertilizer. So anybody who is not the victim of propaganda can see where this is going in the long term. It does not surprise me in the least that these futurists who predict big global changes say the most likely disruption in the next decade is not nuclear war. Or the end of democracy. It's the end of Russia. Under the weight or your sadistic genocidal leader. Who survives by turning Russians into fertilizer, killing Ukrainians, and stealing and raping children. Woo hoo!. But, hey, why should I believe anything that does not come out of the mouths of either a murderous genocidal monster, or the desperate media lapdog who is trying to maintain a career after he was fired? Vlad and Tucker give me all the truth I need. it just doesn't get truer than that!

Could we try to keep this in the 21st Century? I know it hasn't worked so well for the USSR. Or Vlad. But blame that on your genocidal sadist, who just threatened to nuke Europe.

Biden's chances of winning in 2020 just went up significantly. Why? Because The Cult just made sure that a younger and smarter and newer candidate, who would have had a far easier time beating Biden, was instead sacrificed to The Cult. Haley did not follow Cult rules (ignore facts and reality) or Cult dogma (worship Donald Trump and everything he does). For that of course she had to be sacrificed. Bye, Nikki. We won't miss you. Fucking disloyal bitch! Of course you deserved to die. There is every indication that all those centrist suburban women who voted for Haley yesterday will have a very hard time voting for Trump in November. But The Cult doesn't care. Because they don't believe it. Ask @EmmetK. How could anyone who is not a left wing sociopath not adore Donald Trump??? He's going to win in a landslide! Facts just don't matter. Although, these facts may matter a bit. Biden’s plan for Trump: Bury him with campaign cash A massive avalanche of spending is about to come the former president’s way. The silence of the Biden campaign has been deafening so far. Although Politico now confirms what was a good guess, anyway. They were just holding their fire until Trump was a done deal. Now their job is to make him a dead deal. It won't be particularly hard. And that's not quite true. Team Biden did work up a compromise bipartisan immigration deal. It's not clear Biden gets any points for it, or will. The polls suggest both sides think they are all just politicians playing political games. At the very least, I think it eliminates the idea that Biden is an uncompromising leftist. He did try to compromise. Trump was against it. That may not help Biden. But it won't hurt him with centrists and Independents. As a Democrat who hates money in politics, there is some part of me that says: this is wrong, and it won't work. But it probably will work. As the article notes, we have been there and done this before, recently. Both W. in 2004 and Obama in 2012 are examples where unopposed incumbents used their incumbency and cash to paint their opponents as a villian. Or a windsurfing waffler. Is this wrong? One time recently that incumbency didn't work was 2020, when Trump lost. Why? Because he was a chaotic mess, even before Jan. 6th and all the lawsuits and judgments. So, no. I don't think it's wrong. I'm not sure Kerry or Romney really deserved the treatment they got. But that is politics. And, basically, it worked because their own words and history were used against them. How much easier could it be with Trump? The problem will be choosing among Trump's worst words and actions. Will it be the lies? The pussy grabbing? The Putin ass kissing? The insurrection? The cop beatings? The destruction of civil debate and democracy? Lindsey Graham was on CNN last night telling Dana Bash that Trump will win because he will make this an issue-oriented campaign. And he has the issues on his side. Nice fantasy, Lindsey. If you listened to Trump's speech, the fantasy is that a horrible invasion of mass murdering thugs from all the worst shitholes in the world is happening IN YOUR NEIGHBORHOOD RIGHT NOW! LOCK YOUR DOORS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Maybe that is right wing porn for some people. But will it stick? Is Biden inviting people from all over the world to murder innocent Americans? Nah. Not really. The FBI says the murder rate was down 6 % in 2022, the most recent year the FBI put out data for. The Council of Criminal Justice says it went down 10 % more in 2023 in 32 study cities. In other words, elect More Murder Trump if you want more murder. When Biden goes after Trump for having more murders (but fewer facts) on his watch, that may change how people feel about the right wing rhetoric. Unless people feel every right white winger should be given a free AR-15. Which is why the murder spiked under Trump in the first place. More guns. We don't even have to guess about this. More Murder Kevin McCarthy tried to pose in photos with cops and use crime to create a massive red wave. At best he created a whimper. Why didn't it work? He comes from one of the murder capitals of California. Far more murder in More Murder Kevin's city than in SF or LA. Facts do matter, most of the time. If you want more walls, more murder, and more guns, VOTE TRUMP! As a bonus, he'll cut taxes for billionaires again and take your health care and abortion away!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I could of course go on and on. But there clearly is a disconnect right now between how much people think Biden and his economy sucks, and how much people long for the good old days of Trump. WHICH IS OF COURSE WHY THEY DIDN'T APPROVE OF HIM FRM 2017 to 2020, AND FIRED HIS ASS THE FIRST CHANCE THEY GOT. The comfortable but fantasy nostalgia about Benevolent Donald won't stick when Biden starts to remind people of the specific reasons he won 51 % of the vote in 2020. People do know these things, after all. It always helps when you have facts and reality on your side. Bye, Donald. We won't miss you.

You should visit your doctor. Advocating nuclear war because the rest of the world is doing well but your sadist wants his genocide is for sure demonstrating problems with your mental health. But, frankly, I don't care about your personal mental problems, @Moses. Or your sadist thug's oppression of Gays like you. You can live with your sadistic homophobe for as long as you want. Since you have no choice, anyway. What concerns me is the genocide, and the political problems your sadistic genocidal war monger is creating for the rest of the world. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer. Genocidal. Sadist. Mass murderer.

Yup. You are in The Cult. In the eyes of The Cult, most Americans are sick and wrong. Is that what you believe, @EmmetK? That most Americans are sick? What did facts do to you? Why do you hate facts? Majority Of Americans Say Trump Should Be Prosecuted On Federal Criminal Charges Linked To 2020 Election Nearly two-thirds of Americans think Jan. 6 charges against Trump are serious 51% of voters say convicting Trump of a ‘serious crime’ would be a ‘fair outcome’ And. from Bloomberg, who you don't think is fake news: Biden Is Too Old But Trump Is Dangerous Again, the headline doesn't say it. But the overwhelming majority of voters who are not in The Cult say Trump is too old, too. By killing Nikki Haley, you just killed the candidate more likely to be Biden. As a Democrat who knows Trump is dangerous and wrong, I thank you from the bottom of my heart. So does Joe.

Biden Can Still Win — If He Runs Like Harry Truman Great article. I'm surprised there haven't been more stories like this. Although one thing that is true about most media talking heads, left of right, is they usually go for the lazy and obvious analysis. Trump leads! Biden should quit! So thinking about Harry Truman may be above their pay grade. There have been endless variations of "2024 is 1980, and Joe Biden is Jimmy Carter" in right wing media. God bless them and their denial of facts. Here's the most important fact about why Biden is more like Truman than Carter. In 1976, Carter beat Ford in part by saying the misery index was way too high. In 1980, Reagan slaughtered Carter by saying it was now even higher. Over 20 percent! Right now the misery index is 6.8 percent, which is one point LOWER than the last day Trump was POTUS. Trump may have a hard time explaining why the economy was great under him, after all. Repeal Obamacare, anyone? Cut taxes for billionaires, anyone? Wouldn't it be way more swell if our homes and stocks were worth less? That argument just won't hold up. Of course, Trump doesn't understand RISING net worth. His is phony. And about to go way down! The "economy sucks" argument probably holds up best for Gen Z and some Millennials. Who don't own homes or stocks, and are perhaps suffering relatively more from higher prices and interest rates. And they mostly hate Trump. They'll vote for Trump so that he can make abortion illegal everywhere, and make sure there can never ever be student debt relief? Give me a break! Biden does need to Give Em Hell. It turns out that when you are Giving People Hell, you do not look old and senile and feeble. So one good reason for Biden to model himself on a populist like Truman is he won't look so God damn old. Biden is in better shape than Truman, if we go by objective facts. In both 2024 and 1948, most people said they did not like the incumbent President. And Reason # 1 was higher prices. In 1946, inflation peaked at 20 % just as people were voting. The midterms were a wipeout for Democrats. Which fed the idea that Democrats will have their heads chopped off in 1948. In 2022 inflation peaked under 10 %, and was on the way down by November. Which may be why Democrats did better than expected. People of course don't like higher prices. It's not clear that will stick on election day, though. Just ask Harry Truman. That's especially true if Biden runs a campaign based on economic populism, like Truman did. Trump actually did cut taxes for billionaires like himself. Biden actually did say working class women with kids should get tax credits so their kids can afford to play team sports. It lifted half of the children in the US out of poverty for one year. People can understand the differences. In 1948 it was early days of The Cold War. And no one could predict who would win. In 2024 we have won the Cold War. And Biden wants to keep Russia contained and help Ukraine. Ronald Reagan would agree with Joe Biden, not Donald Trump. The majority of people agree we should help Ukraine and not be weak and feeble with Putin. I'll keep repeating that Biden has a "Genocide Joe" problem with his base. But as this article suggests, if and when Biden demands a ceasefire (Kamala Harris just did) that will help. Biden needs to start giving Bibi hell, too. If he wants to be POTUS in 2025. As a lifetime Israel supporter, I strongly believe it is better for Israel. Bibi is turning Israel into Apartheid Land, at best, and Genocide World, at worst. It is not in the interest of Israel or the US to keep sliding into that abyss. More dead Jews, anyone? The one thing that was a little bit of a revelation to me in that article above is that as much as Stein and West are a curse, they are also kind of a blessing. And Biden knows this, if anyone does. In 2020 he won mostly because he religiously clung to the middle of the road, as best he could. Yeah, 2020 was the most liberal Democratic primary ever. But Biden always wanted to be the guy closer to the center. He will do the same thing in Fall 2024. And it will probably work, too. He will attack his "dangerous" opponent on the right, Trump, and also his dangerous opponents on The Left. Election Polls; 1948 and Today That's a boring and long-winded look at 1948. But, hey. What am I if not boring and long-winded. And, often, correct. I do like facts. Lots of them. Truman's approval was 38 % around now in 1948. All year long Dewey was beating him in the polls. It's risky to compare 1948 polls to today. But at the time Gallup and Roper and a few others were viewed as very credible pollsters. To the point that the media at the time was saying we don't even need to hold an election. Dewey won. Kind of like @EmmetK insists Trump won already. Poor thing! There is one big difference between Trump and Dewey. Trump is seen as far more dangerous. I don't think @EmmetK and The Cult get that. Democrats like me are partisan. Duh! But we can see facts. The polls are telling us right now that most Democrats and Independents agree that both Biden and Trump are too old. independents and Democrats also agree that Trump is too dangerous. The Cult can't see that. That is, of course, because they are in The Cult. There is one fact in that 1948 poll that I think does suggest why Biden could lose. And why he needs to run a Harry Truman campaign. In 1948, by a 2 to 1 margin, people said the New Deal policies had done more good than harm. People may have voted less for Truman, and more for FDR. In 2024, as @EmmetK has correctly pointed out, Trump is winning the issues. So far. On the economy, people say (today) that Trump's policies did more good than harm. And Biden's policies have done more harm than good. And they don't mean lower prescription drug costs, or child tax credits. They mean higher prices. Biden needs to Give Trump Hell. Do we really want more tax cuts for the rich? Do we really want to try to repeal Obamacare, again? Do we really want more trade wars that will - what do tariffs do? - RAISE PRICES ON THE WORKING CLASS. Is it better to have more billionaires with lower tax bills and twice as many poor Hispanic children? Do we really want abortion illegal everywhere? Do we really want a government policy of climate change denial? Do we really want to let Bibi pave Gaza over with the blood of Palestinian women and children? Do we really want Murderous Vlad to win in Ukraine? Do we really want Trump governing from a prison cell, not the Oval Office? Or, when Congress does something Trump doesn't like, should he just send his thugs over to break some more cops' bones? That debate has not even begun. I won't be surprised if Biden and Democrats win it. Again. Like in 2018. And 2020. And 2022. And 2023. And so far in 2024.

I know. I know. I know. Facts! Fucking facts! You just hate them, don't you @EmmetK? Especially when they involve analysis. Granted, it is a very bad sign in March of an election year when a candidate is like five points behind. Facts are facts. Obviously they are going to lose!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Let's take March 5, 2016 as an example. In the RCP average, Hillary Clinton led Trump by 5 points. By late Match 2016, she had a 10 point lead. For a guy like @EmmetK, facts are facts! Hillary Clinton was obviously going to win. And she did win, in a landslide. Facts are facts. It's just that simple! It may help to compare those two charts, Mr. Facts. What's obvious visually is that in 2020 Biden was ahead of Trump the whole time. And in the end he won by 7 million votes. 2016 was a pretty close race. Most people did not think that way at the time. A lot of people thought of course Trump couldn't win. But at least in retrospect if you look at the polls there were lots of times when Trump was close - like within 2 or 3 points - and even a teeny bit ahead. What no one really imagined well enough is that Clinton could win the popular vote by millions of votes, but lose the electoral college by hundreds of thousands of votes. That's where we are right now. What should be visually obvious even to you, @EmmetK, is that this is a very close race. Much closer than either 2020 or 2016. But, hey. I get it. You're in The Cult. The Cult just sends money to Trump and repeats his lies and bullshit. The Cult is NOT supposed to think. Facts suck, huh? But if you think having a 10 point lead in March wins you the election in November, go ask Hillary Clinton about it. The polls are saying correctly that Biden has an age problem. And an economy problem. And an immigration problem. And especially an Israel/"Genocide Joe" problem. There is no question that Trump opened up a lead when US bombs were being used to kill tens of thousands of Palestinian women and children, with Biden's tacit okay. But I'm with Trump on one thing. Trump actually wrote a note to Allan Lichtman saying, "Good call" when he predicted Trump would win in 2016. I'm guessing Trump did no such thing when Lichtman predicted Trump would lose in 2020. Point is that Lichtman has been stunningly correct that people ultimately vote on fundamentals, not polls. People are not stupid. (Well, there is The Cult). So they don't like Biden's age. And they don't like higher prices. And they want a less open border. And young voters and Independents who are turning against Biden in the last few months overwhelmingly want a Gaza cease fire. None of that means Biden is going to lose. Let alone in a landslide. That is just you, The Cult, and an aversion to facts, @EmmetK. What did facts do to you? Here's a few other facts in that poll that The Cult really needs to overlook. Trump is also too old, according to most voters. And, unlike Biden, he is "dangerous" to most voters. Right now what people are saying about Biden is mostly, "He's old." Right now what people are saying about Trump is mostly, "He's winning." Don't count on that to stick when the fight gets underway. People may focus more on how and why Trump is dangerous. Speaking of Trump sweeping those primaries and winning, did you notice how the Fox News (not fake news!) poll said in a general election today Haley would beat Biden by 8 points, whereas Trump would beat Biden by 2 points? That's definitely not good news for Biden. But it is not great news for Trump, either. Thanks to people like you, @EmmetK, The Cult is beating to death a younger candidate who would have a much better chance of beating Biden, based on every poll out there. When it comes to Biden and Trump, though, most people (but not The Cult) agree both men are too old to be POTUS. Biden is not senile, and he is a realist. I'm 1000 % sure he'd rather run against Trump than Haley. So what The Cult just accomplished is taking out a candidate who would have a much better shot at taking out Biden. Woo hoo! No one ever accused you of being a genius, @EmmetKdid they? Meanwhile, there are ZERO polls showing [name a Democrat other than Biden] would do better against Trump than Biden. The Cult, and the lazy media, have this weird conspiracy fantasy that somehow Democrats will replace Biden with Michelle Obama or Kamala Harris or some Black woman The Cult despises. But that is all Cult weirdness, with a tinge of racism. It has nothing to do with facts. What did facts do to you, @EmmetK? Why are you having such problems with facts? Yes. Biden is old. So is Trump. You really don't get why a majority of Americans see Trump and The Cult as dangerous, do you? The part I am looking forward to is when people roar in approval when Trump says, "I want to cut taxes for billionaires and corporations that charge higher prices!" And when he says, "Let's make both abortion and health care illegal, everywhere!" people will elect him overwhelmingly. 😉

That is a fact. Nothing else does matter to you. You are 1000 % in with the Cult. That is all that really matters to you.

Good for you dear. That is a fact. Woo hoo! Here's another fact. Trump lost by 7 million votes in 2020. Why did that happen if people "overwhelmingly" fell Trump helped them personally? The inflation thing is interesting. There is no question if you read all these polls that higher prices is THE thing. I think it is probably true with younger voters as well. Even though for a lot of them it's Gaza that was the bridge too far that led to Trump's lead starting last October. Will inflation kill Biden at the end of the day? It sure could. But I wouldn't count on it. I'm much more worried about young voters just giving up on Biden because of things like Gaza. Because that is out of Biden's control, unless he becomes Prime Minister of India. On the economy, assuming we keep avoiding the recession that has been predicted for years, Biden has not really fought back yet. in fact, there is no fight yet. People are just remembering how prices were lower when Trump was POTUS. So, yeah, wasn't Trump's economy the best? I mean, prices were lower. Hot damn! When he cut taxes for billionaires, everyone practically creamed in their pants . Life was so hard for all those corporations that raised prices, and overwhelmingly people said, "Yeah. Let's give them tax cuts." But it was even better for the economy and working class pocketbooks when Trump said, "Hey. Here's a thought. How about I take all those health care protections away, and you can go broke again when you get sick?" People erupted in applause! God did people love having their health care repealed by Trump. Or almost. That really helped people. Overwhelmingly! You get my point. There is clearly nostalgia for a time when prices were lower. And people clearly blame it on Biden, with help making the case coming from Trump and Republicans. Will that stick when Biden reminds people why they fired Trump in the first place? Don't count on it. Especially if the economy keeps improving. Wages have been surpassing inflation for about a year now. Global leader approval index Here's another fun fact. Almost every "Western" leader who presided over the inflation spike after COVID has low approval ratings. Mostly lower than Biden's. On that list Biden is at 37 in the Morning Consult poll. The RCP approval average for Biden is 41 right now. But let's go with 37. Sanchez is at 38, Trudeau at 35, Kristersson at 33, Sunak at 27, Macron at 24, Yook Seok-youl at 20, and Scholz at 20. Inflation got even higher in most of those countries. So every leader that presided over inflation in most of "the West" is viewed as bad or worse than Biden. The leaders who were elected more recently, after inflation peaked and started to decline, are mostly viewed better: Berset at 57, Tusk at 50, Lula at 47, Albonese at 45, Meloni at 44. Maybe that's just because they are newer and fresher. Or maybe they escaped voter ire for the inflation that DID NOT happen on their watch. The two big exceptions are Modi, at 77 % approval, and AMLO at 64 %. They did preside over big inflation spikes in their countries. US inflation is 3.1 %, compared to 5.1 % in India and 4.9 % in Mexico. Why did Modi and AMLO escape the wrath of voters, at last in opinion polls? Who knows. But my guess is they have been particularly good at painting themselves as populists who care about the little guy. Which is obviously what Trump is going for. Trump stands for THE LITTLE GUY AND GAL. Unless they are cops, of course. Then he has his mob break their bones for taking hostages and shit like that. But, mostly, Trump is a working class kind of guy. Will it work well enough to get Trump elected? It could. Trump kind of rode that populist wave in 2016. The problem now is basically everything he did between January 2017 and January 2021. Including that whole thing about breaking cop bones and stuff. So will this wonderful nostalgia for "the Trump era" and how great things were stick? Will people say, "Fuck yeah! We want big corporations who raised prices on us to get more tax breaks! And who needs health care, anyway? Give the money to corporations!" They might. But don't count on it.

Facts have been very bad to you, I know. Nuance and humor has been even worse to you I guess. I don't think Bloomberg is fake news. You're the fact-free cultist saying polls you don't like are fake news. So let's try this again. These are very simple facts. Try hard, buddy. Try hard. That is from Bloomberg News, which YOU cited. LMFAO that you are so hostile to facts that you can't even absorb facts from the websites and polls YOU cite. But since YOU cited this website and YOU cited this poll, try to believe it, buddy. Try hard. Facts won't hurt you. The race is "almost evenly split" in Wisconsin and Michigan, according to Bloomberg. That's means tied, buddy. Not a landslide. Not a victory. A tie. Here's another fact from the website YOU cited and the poll YOU cited. LMFAO that you can't absorb facts from polls YOU post. Again, that is from the Bloomberg poll YOU cited. Like Biden, a majority of voters think Trump is too old to run. The difference between Biden supporters like me and The Cult is Biden supporters, and in fact most Democrats and Independents, agree both Biden and Trump are too old. The Cult can't admit that even to itself. Let alone that a majority of voters think Trump is dangerous. If you want to believe Trump has already won in a landslide, just like you want to believe he won in 2020, go ahead. It won't change anything when he loses. The numbers that explain the messy Michigan primary results The fact that there's a poll right now that says Biden is "almost evenly split" is actually relatively good news for Biden, given how pissed a lot of his base voters are with him now over Gaza. If Biden does lose Michigan, this will be why. Trump and Netankillyu would be fine with paving over Gaza with the blood of Palestinian women and kids. So it's far from clear how this plays out once that becomes clearer to voters who are pissed at Biden. But if his base continues to say "Fuck you, Genocide Joe," which is what over 100,000 of them said on Tuesday, that could be fatal. Bloomberg and all the polls have ZERO clue how that will turn out. That's mostly up to Biden at this point.

From your fake news website: From your fake news website: By the way, the vast majority of voters think Trump is too old - and dangerous - to be POTUS But if it makes you feel better to post this stuff, go ahead. It won't change the outcome of the election.

When is he going to run for Congress? He sounds more qualified than his Mom. 😉

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