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AdamSmith

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Everything posted by AdamSmith

  1. AdamSmith

    The Organ

    https://youtube.com/watch?v=Na4v8CeKnxM
  2. AdamSmith

    The Organ

  3. AdamSmith

    The Organ

    Loving repost... https://www.c-span.org/video/?176255-1/depth-harold-bloom
  4. The vagueness in the Constitution of how power is allocated among the 3 branches in particular worried Madison. He himself eventually, 20 years on, came up with this notion of ‘checks and balances’ [/]deriving from competition for power among the branches. But from all my reading, he never really believed that. And so here we are today.
  5. AdamSmith

    The Organ

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=QM9Bynjh2Lk
  6. This merits verbatim transcript. Merkel Gives Germans a Hard Truth About the Coronavirus The famously no-nonsense chancellor, keeping to form, braced Germany for an epidemic that may reach extraordinary scale. “We have to understand that many people will be infected,” Chancellor Angela Merkel said Wednesday.Credit...Omer Messinger/EPA, via Shutterstock By Katrin Bennhold and Melissa Eddy March 11, 2020Updated 7:46 p.m. ET BERLIN — Chancellor Angela Merkel is on her way out and her power is waning, but in her typically low-key, no-nonsense manner, the German leader on Wednesday laid out some cold, hard facts on the coronavirus in a way that few other leaders have. Two in three Germans may become infected, Ms. Merkel said at a news conference that reverberated far beyond her country. There is no immunity now against the virus and no vaccine yet. It spreads exponentially, and the world now faces a pandemic. The most important thing, the chancellor said, is to slow down the spread of the coronavirus to win time for people to develop immunity, and to prevent the health care system from becoming overwhelmed. “We have to understand that many people will be infected,” Ms. Merkel said. “The consensus among experts is that 60 to 70 percent of the population will be infected as long as this remains the situation.” ADVERTISEMENT Continue reading the main story Ms. Merkel’s estimates were probably a worst-case scenario, though not wildly out of line with those of experts outside Germany. But her warning provided a stark contrast to the crimped pronouncements of many other world leaders, among them President Trump, who has mostly played down the contagion. “The risk to the American people remains very low,” he said recently. Unlock more free articles. Create an account or log in Mr. Trump has staged photo-ops with scientists at the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, but with this crisis, as with others, he has seemed to pride himself on following his own advice. “I like this stuff, I really get it,” Mr. Trump said at the C.D.C. “People are surprised that I understand it. Every one of these doctors said, ‘How do you know so much about this?’ Maybe I have a natural ability. Maybe I should have done that instead of running for president.” Ms. Merkel, by contrast, did in fact spend time studying science before becoming a politician: she is a trained physicist. ADVERTISEMENT Continue reading the main story On Wednesday, when she addressed her fellow Germans, flanked by the health minister and the head of the public health institute, she took pains to say that the information she was sharing had come from the experts. And that information, she said, informed the public health decisions being made by the authorities. Image A drive-in for testing for coronavirus in Nuertingen, Germany.Credit...Ronald Wittek/EPA, via Shutterstock Lothar Wieler, president of the Robert Koch Institute for public health, said that while health experts currently believe that two-thirds of the population may become infected with the coronavirus, “we don’t know how fast that will happen.” “But every one of us can figure out that the longer this takes, the better it is,” Dr. Weiler said. “On the one hand, because then the chance that a vaccine will become available increases, and on the other hand, because there is a chance that treatments will be available.” Get an informed guide to the global outbreak with our daily coronavirus newsletter. One of the country’s top virologists recently said that it could take a year or two, or even longer, for that many people to become infected. At the news conference on Wednesday, Ms. Merkel did not make big promises. Her announcement, sober in tone, was more a call to arms. The chancellor urged Germans to observe restrictions and stand in solidarity with one another, for the common good. ADVERTISEMENT Continue reading the main story Soccer games will play to empty stadiums. Big events will be canceled. If need be, Germany will even suspend its cherished balanced budget and borrow more. “We must take all necessary measures,” Ms. Merkel. “That is true for the government and everyone in a position of political responsibility. But it is also true for all citizens, the 83 million people who live in our country. It is about protecting older people, those with previous illnesses and vulnerable groups.” “This is putting our solidarity, our common sense and our openheartedness for one another to the test,” she said. “I hope that we will pass it.” The chancellor has been in regular consultation with her health minister and with German scientists who have been tracking the virus since it first appeared in Bavaria in January. As the number of infections rose in recent days — they hit 1,600, with three fatalities, on Wednesday — the chancellor came under criticism in the media and from the opposition for not addressing the public about the health crisis. Image Neustadt , Germany, where people quarantined themselves after the coronavirus was found at an elementary school.Credit...Sean Gallup/Getty Images When Ms. Merkel did so on Wednesday, it was a reminder of the woman who for much of the past 14 years has been the rock in European politics. She is the leader who reassured savings account holders during the financial crisis; who held the euro area together in the sovereign debt crisis; and who was celebrated, at least in many quarters, as the defender of liberal values after her decision to welcome over a million migrants in 2015. ADVERTISEMENT Continue reading the main story “It was vintage Merkel,” said Andrea Roemmele, a professor of political science at the Hertie School in Berlin. “She showed leadership in a crisis. She reassured people. And she talked facts. Many, including Ms. Merkel herself, drew parallels to 2008, when markets plummeted following the collapse of Lehman Brothers and a run on banks became a distinctive possibility. At the time, Ms. Merkel stepped before her country and sought to calm frayed nerves. “We are telling savers that your savings are safe,” she had said at the time. People believed her. There was no run on the banks. “What she managed to do is reassure people, avoid a panic, without playing down the crisis,” Ms. Roemmele said. That appeared to be her aim again on Wednesday. Ms. Merkel told reporters that she wanted to help people understand the breadth of the challenge posed by the rapidly spreading, still largely unknown virus. And she wanted to make clear that “we are not yet able to offer solutions in all areas.” The message, she said, was: “We will do what is necessary, together and in a European context.” Experts on disease modeling said on Wednesday that predicting overall infection rates across a country was an uncertain business, but that estimates in the 60 to 70 percent range were realistic, if perhaps on the high end, for some areas of the world. “People in my field have been saying for well over a month that 30 to 60 percent of the world’s population will get infected,” said Dr. Elizabeth Halloran, a biostatistician at the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center and the University of Washington. ADVERTISEMENT Continue reading the main story But she and other experts said that Ms. Merkel’s estimates were most likely at the high end of the range. The real infection rate will depend on whether measures like social distancing and quarantines reduce the spread of the virus, they said. Image Empty shelves at a store in Berlin.Credit...Sean Gallup/Getty Images Alessandro Vespignani, a professor of computer and health sciences at Northeastern University in Boston, has been modeling the social dynamics of infectious disease spread for years and is currently consulting with health official around the world. He believes the two-thirds number is a worst-case scenario. “I would say it could be closer to 30 to 50 percent attack rate, meaning the fraction of the population infected,” he said. “This is the number you get from looking at when the disease has infected enough people to burn out spontaneously.” Dr. Vespignani did not, however, rule out a two-thirds rate in some parts of the world, depending on how much time the virus circulates before being somewhat contained. “Long story short, these are numbers that are part of the possible scenarios,” he said. Benedict Carey contributed reporting from New York. As Merkel Eyes Exit, Nervous E.U. Wonders Who’ll Take the Stage Oct. 30, 2018 For Trump, Coronavirus Proves to Be an Enemy He Can’t Tweet Away March 8, 2020 Katrin Bennhold is The New York Times's Berlin bureau chief. Previously she reported from London and Paris, covering a range of topics from the rise of populism to gender. @kbennhold • Facebook https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/11/world/europe/coronavirus-merkel-germany.html
  7. The Constitution, while still the best available, nonetheless has some serious loopholes & lapses. Madison, its principal author of course, went to his grave plagued by these gaps & weaknesses.
  8. You know that is a contradiction of terms.
  9. You well know it was not a ‘verdict.’ It was a political self-interest calculation by 100 variously opposed ‘Congresscriters’, as you yourself correctly name them. Come on now.
  10. There is also medical advice that a walk or two around the block after dinner will help burn up carbs and stop them turning into lipids that settle into the cardiovascular system.
  11. AdamSmith

    The Organ

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=r9LCwI5iErE
  12. I had forgotten that. Agree that was very poisonous behavior. And public abuse of private info.
  13. You know, it’s funny. I have ragged on Kessler several times for being long-winded etc. He responded humorously but seriously: he needs space to think as he writes. I get that. He is a serious contributor, without pathology that I can detect. I like & respect him.
  14. Very valuable observation. I dislike very much of Cruz’s policy positions, but I absolutely respect his personal integrity. Rehnquist, whose beliefs I likewise largely abhor, would not have taken C. as a clerk if in a factual sense C. was not ’sober as a judge.’ Funny how these 2 competing things can go together.
  15. AdamSmith

    The Organ

  16. AdamSmith

    The Organ

    https://donyorty.com/blog/2015/07/26/wallace-stevens-reads-the-idea-of-order-at-key-west/ ← → © 2015 Don Yorty. All rights reserved. Wallace Stevens reads The Idea of Order at Key West Filed under American Poets.Bookmark the permalink.Post a comment.Leave a Trackback (URL). … … … The Idea of Order at Key West She sang beyond the genius of the sea. The water never formed to mind or voice, Like a body wholly body, fluttering Its empty sleeves; and yet its mimic motion Made constant cry, caused constantly a cry, That was not ours although we understood, Inhuman, of the veritable ocean. The sea was not a mask. No more was she. The song and water were not medleyed sound Even if what she sang was what she heard. Since what she sang was uttered word by word. It may be that in all her phrases stirred The grinding water and the gasping wind; But it was she and not the sea we heard. For she was the maker of the song she sang. The ever-hooded, tragic-gestured sea Was merely a place by which she walked to sing. Whose spirit is this? we said, because we knew It was the spirit that we sought and knew That we should ask this often as she sang. If it was only the dark voice of the sea That rose, or even colored by many waves; If it was only the outer voice of sky And cloud, of the sunken coral water-walled, However clear, it would have been deep air, The heaving speech of air, a summer sound Repeated in a summer without end And sound alone. But it was more than that, More even than her voice, and ours, among The meaningless plungings of water and the wind, Theatrical distances, bronze shadows heaped On high horizons, mountainous atmospheres Of sky and sea. ……It was her voice that made The sky acutest at its vanishing. She measured to the hour its solitude. She was the single artificer of the world In which she sang. And when she sang, the sea, Whatever self it had, became the self That was her song, for she was the maker. Then we, As we beheld her striding there alone, Knew that there never was a world for her Except the one she sang and, singing, made. Ramon Fernandez, tell me, if you know, Why, when the singing ended and we turned Toward the town, tell why the glassy lights, The lights in the fishing boats at anchor there, As the night descended, tilting in the air, Mastered the night and portioned out the sea, Fixing emblazoned zones and fiery poles, Arranging, deepening, enchanting night. Oh! Blessed rage for order, pale Ramon, The maker’s rage to order words of the sea, Words of the fragrant portals, dimly-starred, And of ourselves and of our origins, In ghostlier demarcations, keener sounds. … … Wallace Stevens
  17. Why do you even click on any post by him when you know in advance it will only be a reason for an antacid medicine?
  18. https://www.deviantart.com/seika/art/Poot-443560589
  19. He was an egotistical blowhard at the same time he was a deadlfully correct critic. So, OK by me.
  20. AdamSmith

    The Organ

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?index=28&list=PL6P31hZa7t9drVm2hOo9gDKggNe3TugU_&t=0s&v=6Waurx8e-1o
  21. Who was 70yo & chain-smoked so had zero sense of taste & thus used 5X the salt needed in every dish.
  22. AdamSmith

    The Organ

  23. AdamSmith

    The Organ

  24. An occasional targeted bashing, if it trails off with time, can absolutely have its retributive fun.
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