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stevenkesslar

Why is Trump stupid and suicidal? Ohio Edition

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Democrats probably just won the Ohio Senate race.  Trump was out there stumping for Moreno.  Who won the GOP primary by more than I would have guessed.  No doubt a reflection of how the Republican Party no longer exists.  It's now the Trump Or Bust Party.  

That interview explains why this is going to be a bust for Trump.  The most recent poll showed Brown had a four point lead over Dolan, the mainstream Republican who lost the primary, and an 11 point lead over Moreno, the MAGA guy who just won  . Every poll taken on this race since last year shows the best chance of beating Brown was nominating the mainstream Republican.  

I actually assumed that in 2020 Trump went out of his way to help Democrats win those two Georgia Senate seats in special elections after Trump lost the general, just out of spite.  But Trump is now trying to get a Republican Senate majority for what he hopes is his second term.  And he is picking the ones most likely to lose.  This is not just stupid.  It's suicidal.

Sherrod Brown is amazingly on message with his economic populism.  If every Democrat spoke like him, and was as effective, we'd be able to win more Senate seats in red states.

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3 hours ago, Stable Genius said:


Two days ago I headed over to Breitbart. There were four stories about Moreno on their main page. Because the AP recently published a story about him using Adult Friend Finder to find young male companions to have fun with while he was on vacation. All of the stories on Breitbart were trying to disprove this story.

HA!

https://apnews.com/article/ohio-senate-election-2024-bernie-moreno-09e34f6331708c192c89d7c1727c2458

That is all very weird.  Obviously, it did not prevent Republicans from electing Moreno.

The interesting thing in this race will be abortion.  Brown is amazing in how on message he is.  In that 10 minute clip I posted, it feels like he said "abortion" about 5,000 times.  And his main point is I listen to people.  Women don't want politicians telling them what to do with their bodies.  The people of Ohio voted on this and they were very clear they don't want a ban.  I listen to people.  And Moreno doesn't care what people think and just wants am extreme total ban on abortion.  It sounds to me like the Trump Party just picked the guy who will lose in November.

Meanwhile, Trump is saying there have to be three exceptions: rape, incest, and the life of the mother.  He is saying that the Republicans who lost in 2022 and 2023 are the ones who said "no exceptions ever".   So Trump will probably say he is for an abortion ban, 15 or 16 weeks, with exceptions.  And when you get in that zone, the polling gets very muddled.  People have conflicted feelings.

So it's interesting.  Trump will probably win Ohio, and Moreno probably won't.  And this is partly why.  Trump's political instincts on a lot of issues are smart.  Like don't fuck with Social Security.  Don't be for total abortion bans.  So it is weird that he pushes candidates like Moreno who are going to lose exactly for those reasons.

But with Trump, it's always ego.  Moreno will pander to Trump, and the mainstream Republicans who actually win in Ohio like DeWine and Kasich don't.  So Trump will always pick the loser who panders to him. 

As a Democrat, I feel lucky.  Brown is the kind of Democrat people will vote for, because he is very good at communicating he is for them.  On union pensions.  On abortion.  On burn pits.  Which is why he wins.  Trump makes it easy for Democrats by pushing candidates like Moreno that a majority of people will simply vote against.

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