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Riobard

Coin-toss equivalent CoV exposure

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Checking out my favourite destinations for current SARS-CoV-2 exposure risk potential.

Have selected the arbitrary threshold of 50%, essentially a coin-toss, though one can use any probability percentage in the algorithm. 

Today’s quantity of people threshold for a 50% probability of one infectious person within that quantity is 42 in Dominican Republic.

If coronavirus were superimposed on past visits to Paco’s/Grand’s Cafeteria y Bar, a fair heads/tails chance one innocent but risky person would have been there circulating.

I believe the place is open with modifications. Cheers and bon appétit. 

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Brazil today: the quantity of people is 27 using the same formula. 

Edited by Riobard
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Florida: 9

Not Latin America though Latin influences. I go occasionally and took in some nice weather there 6 months ago. 

Edited by Riobard
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One of my favourite Caribbean destinations, Guadeloupe: 1732 persons is the number calculated to present a 50% chance one of them is a transmission risk. J’adore

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My location, Quebec province, for reference: 288

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