Members Riobard Posted June 30, 2020 Members Posted June 30, 2020 (edited) It’s already sloppy and mystifying at the get-go. Two of the 14 countries are well above the 1.16 rolling weekly average-per-day threshold based on 16 ‘allowable’ cases per 100,000 on a 14-day duration, not taking into account higher estimates based on asymptomatic / presymptomatic status or on testing uptake rates. Two countries show an uptick just short of the threshold. I wonder how much context is taken into account. Were the Balkan ones based on an assumption of epicentre isolation? Will Canada stay on the list at review time because a recent increase is attributable to migrant produce workers in a circumscribed region? Edited June 30, 2020 by Riobard Spacing Quote
Members tassojunior Posted June 30, 2020 Members Posted June 30, 2020 I dont know how the UK got on the approved list with the virus mess it's in. United gets 17% of its revenue from Europe flights and BA is more dependent on US flights. I hope Merkel's got deep German pockets to afford all the European bankruptcies. Quote
Members Riobard Posted June 30, 2020 Author Members Posted June 30, 2020 Given the UK trend, considering the decision is not based on cumulative damage, take Belgium for example (though I realize it is within the EU collective that screens nations), but the selection examines recent prevalence, I’d have half-expected the green light for Brits. It is dropping close to the threshold and has a higher testing record than the majority of continental Europe. As some continental nations do not meet the defined criteria (eg, Portugal), we can anticipate a degree of discretionary exceptionalism for inclusion. Quote
Members Riobard Posted June 30, 2020 Author Members Posted June 30, 2020 Tempted to fly off to Zürich and/or Barcelona but I don’t count on Paragonya and Thermas, both operational, to be representative of community prevalence and transmission risk. Quote
Members pauleiro Posted June 30, 2020 Members Posted June 30, 2020 1 hour ago, Riobard said: Tempted to fly off to Zürich and/or Barcelona but I don’t count on Paragonya and Thermas, both operational, to be representative of community prevalence and transmission risk What do you mean ? In sauna, depending on what you and how you do it, transmission risk must be much higher. Quote
Members Riobard Posted June 30, 2020 Author Members Posted June 30, 2020 19 minutes ago, pauleiro said: What do you mean ? In sauna, depending on what you and how you do it, transmission risk must be much higher. LOL. I didn’t say higher or lower. I thought the reserved tone in my qualifying ‘but ...’ conveyed the realization that coronavirus loves these venues as preferential breeding grounds. See my recent sobering calculations for Rio. Quote
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