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Coronavirus

By Lucky, in Gay Asia

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Lucky Grand Master

Lucky

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Posted (edited)

The dancers in bars, the taxi drivers and the tuk tuk drivers, just about everybody will soon be wearing face masks in Thailand, I predict.

Heck, all over Asia the masks have become common.

One good thing, the venues won't be packed with Chinese women competing for the boys' attention! They can't get there!

Here, some of Oz's former boyfriends pledge to wear them until the crisis ends:

face-masks.jpg

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https://www.nationthailand.com/news/30381427?utm_source=homepage&utm_medium=internal_referral

The Bangkok Post reports that Phuket is deserted!

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https://www.bangkokpost.com/business/1848409/chinese-tourists-desert-phuket

Other virus news: https://www.bangkokpost.com/thailand/general/1846299/coronavirus-outbreak-possible-in-major-tourist-centres

Edited by Lucky
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Riobard Grand Master

Riobard

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Here is an example of predicted model progression that emerges from epidemiology. If the model reasonably approximates exponential progression based on recent tallies, the forecast is certainly startling, particularly since there are concerns about underreporting. Today’s tally (12,000) falls short of the assumption, but is still worrisome. Sorry the image is not crisper ... you can always search the domain.

C26E2207-2B21-4433-B741-82627F03C6F9.jpeg

Edited by Riobard
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citylaw1 Proficient

citylaw1

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Headed to Thailand on February 14th with the BF.  A bit concerned of course, but not sure if we should cancel yet.  I don't trust the Chinese government, and I certainly don't underestimate the financial pressure shaping government responses in Thailand and elsewhere in Asia.  Thoughts?

paulsf Mentor

paulsf

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I’m flying to Bangkok tonight thru Hong Kong.   My flight is maybe 25% full.     Business Class had 54 seats booked last week. This morning only 10 seats taken.     I’ve got a lot of friends in Bangkok and they all say you have to be aware of things but wouldn’t cancel.                  
There are no flights from China . No big Chinese tour groups.    They say  it’s a bit quiet right now.  

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Riobard Grand Master

Riobard

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1 hour ago, citylaw1 said:

Headed to Thailand on February 14th with the BF.  A bit concerned of course, but not sure if we should cancel yet.  I don't trust the Chinese government, and I certainly don't underestimate the financial pressure shaping government responses in Thailand and elsewhere in Asia.  Thoughts?

Remember that progression globally went from 45 to over 10,000 reported cases in the past two weeks even with emerging vector control measures. Thailand’s current baseline is almost half the baseline n=45. Watch it closely over the next two weeks prior to departure, and gauge projected progression over your duration of time there. The exponential factor increases with time. 

For me, apart from the health risk would be the complexities of travel medical insurance and health care costs. I would certainly want to know my insurer’s position ... it may not be Valentine-grade. 

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Lucky Grand Master

Lucky

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I wish the Bangkok travelers well. It would be a horrible shame if we lost that country to travel because of coronavirus.

TotallyOz Grand Master

TotallyOz

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On 2/2/2020 at 12:08 AM, Lucky said:

Here, some of Oz's former boyfriends pledge to wear them until the crisis ends:

My dear, they were pledging to swallow if I went them them again.

Seriously, no crisis here yet. I would still travel to Thailand as much as I would the USA. A pandemic is a pandemic.

TotallyOz Grand Master

TotallyOz

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21 minutes ago, AdamSmith said:

I don’t know. There is that phrase ‘the belly of the beast.’

My theory is that this all started in Washington DC and an attempt to change the trade war with China. Would that not make DC and the East Coast the belly?

AdamSmith Grand Master

AdamSmith

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11 hours ago, TotallyOz said:

My theory is that this all started in Washington DC and an attempt to change the trade war with China. Would that not make DC and the East Coast the belly?

I.e., who has the biggest belly in DC right now?

^_^

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zazzu Contributor

zazzu

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Damn...  I've had my heart set on a trip to Bangkok in the spring for the last 6 months.  I'm still tempted to go in March if the numbers remain low.  The numbers (according to this website at least) are showing a total of 25 infected and holding relatively steady for the past week, not that that means much.  If it remains that way (more or less) for the next 4-5 weeks, I think I will take my chances.  The southern hemisphere seems relatively unscathed at this point, but I don't know anywhere in that area that offers what I like about Thailand.  Besides, I'm comfortable there because I know the area fairly well.  

paulsf Mentor

paulsf

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For the most part Bangkok is business as usual.    Not nearly as many Asians as I thought would be wearing masks.   Barely any Westerners wearing them.    In the entertainment district.  (Bars and Gogo’s). Only occasionally an Asian customer wearing masks.  
nobody talking about it.   Unless you turn on tv you would barely no anything was going on.    
At the airport they were trying to take temperatures.  Getting maybe 50% of passengers.  Hong Kong did much better job.  They narrowed the walk ways and got almost everyone’s temperature. 
This  is a Religious 3 day weekend so many have left city.  No Chinese tour groups allowed in Thailand so no big tour busses.  
All in all it’s pretty much business as usual.    Bars and gogo’s open tonight, but no alcohol till after midnight.     Unless your a regular customer and they will give you a red plastic cup with tea. Wink wink.   

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zazzu Contributor

zazzu

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This helps.  I'm still leaning towards going but only like 51:49.  I could easily be swayed into not going...  A lot of what I'm seeing is like you guys are saying - business as usual, as long as I'm not going to China I'll be fine, etc.  The naysayers are just very (overly?) cautious people.

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Lucky Grand Master

Lucky

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On 2/2/2020 at 7:57 AM, citylaw1 said:

Headed to Thailand on February 14th with the BF.  A bit concerned of course, but not sure if we should cancel yet.  I don't trust the Chinese government, and I certainly don't underestimate the financial pressure shaping government responses in Thailand and elsewhere in Asia.  Thoughts?

Are you going today?

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Lucky Grand Master

Lucky

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On 2/7/2020 at 7:11 PM, paulsf said:

For the most part Bangkok is business as usual.    Not nearly as many Asians as I thought would be wearing masks.   Barely any Westerners wearing them.    In the entertainment district.  (Bars and Gogo’s). Only occasionally an Asian customer wearing masks.  
nobody talking about it.   Unless you turn on tv you would barely no anything was going on.    
.   

It would be weird to go to a gogo bar and see the guys all wearing face masks but showing dick!

TotallyOz Grand Master

TotallyOz

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Things are slow here. It is quiet. I don't think numbers are accurate. The effect on tourism will be a major issue for the country and the world. IMHO, the worst is yet to come. I do not think any country will be immune.It is going to spread.We are coming up on Spring break for USA and when that happens, people will be going abroad and possibly risk getting sick and then returning to the USA. Personally, I do not see this as a 2 month issue. It will go on well into or past the summer.

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averagejoe Rookie

averagejoe

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Trump just announced the stop of all flights from Europe. You have got to take in the risk that Thailand may be added to the list. Several other countries have banned travel from several other countries. Thailand has cancelled visa on arrival to several countries and visa exemption for others. So probably being stateside till this blows over might be better.

paulsf Mentor

paulsf

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DHS has already stated that Americans will not be refused entry into the US.  Flights from UK still flying. So there will be major inconveniences but there are work arounds.     I’v been in Bangkok now for a couple of months.   I feel safer here than I will in the US listening to the panic I seem to hear from there.     Tourism is slow here , but it seems much more business as usual.  

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