Almost as bad as Trump

[mvan1]

The Rio Times

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Survey Shows Disapproval of Bolsonaro is Increasing and Affecting His Voter Base

Those who said the president has been doing more than they expected have dropped from 14 percent to 12 percent compared to the previous poll. Those who say he has done less than expected have gone from 51 percent to 55 percent, the study reported.

By

 Richard Mann

 -

September 2, 2019

 

 

 

 

RIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL - The Datafolha poll published on Monday, September 2nd, shows a decline in support for Bolsonaro in sectors of his constituency that supported him in his election campaign.

The index of highly educated voters ranking the president's administration as poor or extremely poor has increased significantly. In April, this group totaled 35 percent. Then, in July, it oscillated slightly to 36 percent. In this survey, however, it reached the 43 percent mark, according to the 'Painel' column in the Folha de S.Paulo newspaper.

[Riobard]

The CNT/MDA poll data are much more challenging for him than Datafolha results. 

Edited September 2, 2019 by Riobard
Erratum

[CaliPexx]

 

5 hours ago, Riobard said:

The CNT/MDA poll data are much more challenging for him than Datafolha results. 

I see what you mean from this Reuters article about the CNT/MDA poll, but I wonder how reliable that poll is when Reuters notes that the trucking lobby (CNT) commissioned MDA to do the poll.

If CNT/MDA is accurate, however, a plunge in Bolsonaro's approval rating from 38.9% to 29.4% would be significant. While Bozo is not yet in President Temer's popularity territory (5%), he does seem to be heading rapidly in the direction of opinion poll "hell". 

[Riobard]

10 hours ago, CaliPexx said:

 

I see what you mean from this Reuters article about the CNT/MDA poll, but I wonder how reliable that poll is when Reuters notes that the trucking lobby (CNT) commissioned MDA to do the poll.

If CNT/MDA is accurate, however, a plunge in Bolsonaro's approval rating from 38.9% to 29.4% would be significant. While Bozo is not yet in President Temer's popularity territory (5%), he does seem to be heading rapidly in the direction of opinion poll "hell". 

I don't conflate accuracy with representativeness. All half dozen or so poll sources and their particular sample constituencies are fairly longstanding. Accuracy has to do with tallying and margins of error. What is most relevant is the within-sample constituency consistency over time and baseline data for the subject. Between sample/constituency variations are to be expected.

Cheering "trumps" quibbling. LOL

[Kyle4U]

Trump leading in all sharpie polls.