tassojunior
Members-
Posts
2,819 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
21
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Everything posted by tassojunior
-
Can Democrats make America great again? And if so, how?
tassojunior replied to stevenkesslar's topic in Politics
That is quite an admiration for someone who wants to put many of us in prison for life for being on escort-discussing websites like this and has made her reputation by doing so to others and of people who hire escorts. Of course Trump signed her SESTA bill, even though he hasn't prosecuted under it. (Sometimes there's something to be said for incompetence). You could think it was just a crusade as Attorney General of CA but as soon as she got to the Senate she co-authored SESTA to remove section 230 protections for escort-discussing websites. I hope going after sex sites and escort clients doesn't continue to be her crusade as VP. But it would be a great stepping stone to the presidency unfortunately and it's certainly "her big thing". I can't imagine this is not where she intends to show her "conservative moral" bonafides to prepare against Nikki Haley. Those of us in the US have some reason to be a little cautious of Kamala. It takes more than slipping on a pair of Converses for a photo opp at an airport to be "cool". Kamala insisted the Backpage defendants be put in a cage during their hearings. -
It's official: Trump Is History, Says The Prediction Professor
tassojunior replied to stevenkesslar's topic in Politics
I keep worrying about technical reporting problems -
But testing is not random but of the more likely so the # exposed and immune is a guess even with some rationale. We just dont have the mass testing yet to more precisely know how many have gained anti-bodies of those not obviously infected. The irony is many of those who will refuse a vaccine will become infected and either die or become part of the immune herd. A poor choice of risk that may or may not stop herd immunity. Interested in what you find. Thx.
-
It's official: Trump Is History, Says The Prediction Professor
tassojunior replied to stevenkesslar's topic in Politics
@stevenkesslar Knowing your poll interest (I was about to say fetish) , here's one unpublished one today that otherwise shows the same margin-of-error spreads in the swings but is excellent news for Biden in Michigan on top of the usually (R) Rasmussen today. Pennsylvania polls have been a disappointment for Biden but having either PA or MH is critical for him. (again, I don't give a lot of credence to exact % but to trends and know that individual states can be very wrong and the swing-state average is most accurate). -
There's a seeming cult of nudity with UK Marines because they are ordered in training that they must sleep nude. This isn't porn......it's a graduation photo and a video of training.
-
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMp2026913 Not to downplay the expected huge increase in covid cases starting in November, but an interesting possibility has surfaced in a new paper in the New England Journal of Medicine today (also noted in the NYT). I've long wondered about how "viral load" factors in both transmission and creation of immunity with covid and now there's a paper on it. Surprisingly though there is still zero research or statistics. This virus seems to be highly contagious and very long-term airborne and surface-borne. By masks cutting down on the viral load someone inhales, they may be de facto vaccine-makers. The unproven idea is inspired by the age-old concept of variolation, the deliberate exposure to a pathogen to generate a protective immune response. First tried against smallpox, the risky practice eventually fell out of favor, but paved the way for the rise of modern vaccines. Masked exposures are no substitute for a bona fide vaccine. But data from animals infected with the coronavirus, as well as insights gleaned from other diseases, suggest that masks, by cutting down on the number of viruses that encounter a person’s airway, might reduce the wearer’s chances of getting sick. And if a small number of pathogens still slip through, the researchers argue, these might prompt the body to produce immune cells that can remember the virus and stick around to fight it off again. Some people have speculated up to 40% of people in areas that have had covid "surges" may already have immunity. If so, maybe the expected surge will not be as widespread as predicted, at least in already-hit areas, and new cheap fast antigen tests may show more immunity than expected. We should already know this question but don't seem to. For now Europe is the best predictor of the US since they went through their surge before us, have now completely re-opened everything, and are seeing rapidly rising cases. If it matches the 1st wave there, it would mean there is not as much immunity from casual exposure as hoped. Getting antigen tests to see if one's probably immune is important. Of course ultimately the vaccine is critical but if there is already a decent community immunity the vaccine's social goal of creating herd immunity is helped a lot. The first of the $5 instant antigen tests are supposed to be appearing this month. Interested in what @Riobard thinks too.
-
Trophy' pictures show US soldiers posing with corpses of Afghan civilians they are accused of killing for sport https://www.theguardian.com/world/2011/mar/21/afghanistan-trophy-photos-us-soldier
-
What was the gay sex scene like in the 1970's?
tassojunior replied to AlexThompson's topic in The Beer Bar
All you need to know. Click on user name after TicToc to see the full length screen. -
In fairness, Biden didn't think much of the 5000 American soldiers he sent to their deaths in committing genocide in Iraq to help other countries, not the US. That was too awful for even Big Dummy to support. You honor American troops by not sending them to commit genocide, not sending them to die for no reason, and not having a continual war economy.
-
In further reading of the new FL poll, Biden is underperforming Clinton 2016's final across the board except for older voters:
-
Addendum to above: Florida would be the win for Biden and I've been saying I hear the reason he's been ahead there is Trump's loss of seniors over 65. Biden needs to drive home policy on SS and Medicare. Trump cant lose seniors or Florida. Trump has pulled into a tie now with big Florida Latino support as opposed to 2016.
-
@stevenkesslar 1. The military poll is a little surpring but remember the service, even though its less black, is hard to get in now. HS degree, no record, tests, etc. Many go to get college. Otherwise, its a smaller poll. But military, Ive heard, is much less right wing than police. Cops are far far right. 2. I still say the cemetary narrative is obviously manufactured news and has no legs. To take it far requires going with the bone spurs thing and Biden did the same thing. 3. I dont know MN and WS and am surprised Biden is doing well there.I do remember that in 68 most riots were in Detroit and it was almost burned out of existence but in November voted Dem by over 6%. So riots may hurt more in other states. Nixon certainly won on law and order and disgust with the race riots. 4. Im surprised Biden is sinking in his "home" of PA and in MH. Both may be turning red. If Biden loses he'll regret not picking Whitmer. 5. If it stays close Trumps best shot is the 3 debates. Biden depends on a teleprompter and with one is trained to speak well. Primary debates also are more subdued with plenty of rehersed lines and platitudes. Biden stumbles on reading lines though and under heat lashes out crazily. One of the few people who may end up making Trump look presidential if he starts one of his Horse faced lesbian/Pony faced liar tirades. Why Pelosi says "no debates". 6. If I were advising Trump (I would not) Id suggest 2 biggies....first .....all China Joe, China Joe. Biden, and many Dems are extremely susceptible on that and China is the major enemy of the US and now the world's #1 country. Second, do a 180 on war and healthcare. Trump used to be a liberal Democrat and Biden was a main supporter of the Iraq War. Pull troops out of Afghanistan and Syria and condemn endless Democratic wars. Stop the drone attacks in Yemen and Somalia. Use executive orders to force low prescription prices and maybe even set up M4All. Trump once asked why not just M4All. Pardon Snowden, Assange and Manning. Pull the liberal rug out from under the Dems. People elected Trump because he was a rebel, not a Republican, and running the same old socialism, socialism GOP campaign is worn out. He needs independents. Anyway I doubt he's any smarter than the Dems. My 2 cents on the election.
-
Watergate was a specific incident, a break-in, a major crime disclosed by 1 "Deepthroat" at the top of the crime fairly soon after. This is a sudden remembrance of a remark to someone else from well over a year ago of it being a generality statement and not a statement just about McCain, (which statement is well-known) and therefore "Major News" !. Same media people caught Bernie in a "Major News" sudden-remembrance-at-opportune-time allegedly saying a woman couldn't beat Trump in the popular vote (after one had). Neither makes any sense upon much thought and doesn't really matter much except it's what we're supposed to be interested in if we're "on the right side". To be honest there are a thousand other, worse, things and policy stands, I care about besides this teeny-bopper he-said, she-said some Mean-Girl media wants us to think is the major news. People having bullets put in their heads is major news. Whether a mean statement over a year ago was a generality instead of just specific to McCain is not on a normal person's top-ten worry list right now. The obviousness of the co-ordinated timing between the party and the "independent" press to portray this as a sudden news event is just going to cause blowback against the ticket and sympathy for Trump. It's a stupid strategy but typical of the arrogance of these neanderthal Neo Libs. What happened to the "anonymous sources" who were going to come out on the Russia/Taliban collusion that was the media narrative a few weeks ago........crickets. But we had proof on the Assad gassing his own people narrative...until...it didn't matter anymore and the UN said it was all a lie and.....nevermind. The arrogance of the new wave of media is that they believe they can fucking make you believe anything they want you to. Truth is easy, any wimp can do that. But these folks think they can convince one the sky is green. That's an aspiration to show power and influence. We're not 100% totalitarian. We have 90% of our media owned by the same 6 corporations who promote and censor on behalf of the corporate party they are financially invested in. They decide what the narrative is they promote and everything has to bend to support that narrative or be censored. If you choose to participate in this mind-numbing experience you can. Few people I know do anymore. It's a habit once-broken loses any appeal. Unfortunately American media is hopeless noise and it's better to turn it off. You feel (and think) much better.
-
You may have to click on the TikTok user name to get full length screen----it's worth it ! Thanks if anyone can post full-screen version.
-
Manufactured news is even worse than fake news because it's an intentional setting of the narrative acceptable to be discussed in the media. It's sometimes a "look over there" topic to hold the public's interest away from other issues. Sometimes it's more sinister as in warmongering (like the Russia/Taliban garbage or the weapons of mass destruction. In a way it's a form of media censorship since it replaces important issues with National Enquirer-type fluff convincing people these are the critical issues of the day. It worked well in totalitarian countries and is all there is in China since the internet is usually filtered. Since most people just want affirmation of their existing beliefs manufactured news and narratives are very popular. We went through this in the Bernie, Tulsi, Yang campaigns with these exact same people "breaking" these exact same phoney "news" stories in unison. Reporting each others reporting immediately as in "like everybody says it! " to make it true and a new story. This problem with manipulated news has been happening across the political spectrum for three years now. https://www.theguardian.com/media/2017/feb/06/liberal-fake-news-shift-trump-standing-rock I can't stand Trump and hope he's gone. But am I to believe the most critical story (narrative) this week was Newflash ! , a reporter just remembered that over a year ago an anonymous somebody told the reporter (and 3 friends) that Trump said the same thing about soldiers generally he had said about McCain (who was objectively a pig, btw) . And then bingo, another reporter in the clique publishes they also now remember "someone" told them back then he had said it generally and not just specifically about McCain? And then 2 more! And in the intervening 15 minutes the Biden tv ad magically also appears with the same far-back remembrances complete with scrolling "quotes" with zero cites. As Gomer Pyle would say Shazam what a coincidence ! So this sudden anonymous remembrance of the generality vs. a special reference becomes the only thing worth talking about in the news cycle. And it fills every available crevice of attention. Same day a young Black guy is shot in the chest by DC police and killed in high definition on his 18th birthday, after he threw a handgun away, and our national 6-corporation-owned media is all "nothing to see here" and censures the story from national news because it neither fits the ongoing narrative or the "sudden anonymous remembrance of generality" they scheduled for the day's big story. https://youtu.be/E2P7Fu2w0ts Nothing is to be discussed that does not reinforce the current narrative or distracts from the day's "Big" story. The truth is the ruling class, the Trumps and the Bidens, the Clintons, and Bloombergs, consider dying in a war something for others to risk, ie: America's unlimited supply of peasant cannon fodder. (and I'm not talking about Beau or Hunter's service in the JAG corps as lawyers lol). We have so many of those expendable poor types we even send them to die as a favor to Saudis, Israelis, UAE and Kuwaiti Emirs so their , so much more valuable kids don't have to risk their lives. Their kids' lives are so much more cherished than our poor peasants'. But Mom will get a free flag from the prez and we'll honor their giving their lives for (some) country. And the ones who survive get wonderful experience killing Blacks for their most-likely next job as police. BTW- For those who think we don't live in a censored, manipulated media: How much mention is there on Joe Biden's Vietnam service vs. Bone -Spur Donnie's? Surprise; In the exact-same year, 1968, when Americans were getting killed more than ever, the Bidens got a doc to get little football-star Joe out of the draft for having once had asthma. 5 deferments just like his pal Donnie. So strange that's never been mentioned lol. https://www.theguardian.com/media/2017/feb/06/liberal-fake-news-shift-trump-standing-rock
-
All us Bernie/Tulsi/Yang voters remember this garbage from this same vicious crowd in the primaries and it will just assure 2016 gets repeated. People with consciences and brains don't support McCarthyism no matter who uses it. Claiming you said something and making you prove you did not say it (a la Snake Lady) is an arrogant tactic that just shows the user is assuming the intended audience is low-IQ enough or mostly just doesn't care what the truth is. WTF happened to the adage "when they go low, we go high" With this crowd it's "how low can we go?". What happened to the warmonger narrative a couple weeks ago, (that only the lowest of morons would believe), that Russia was now allied with the Taliban against American troops? Anyone who thinks Russia wants to have to deal with the Taliban on their border doesn't know any of the history of the Taliban/Mujahideen and their skinning Russian soldiers alive with CIA help. Where are all those "anonymous sources" that the corporate media promised to bring forward? At least because of the McCain comments this new narrative would be a little believable. That one was pure horsehit. Yellow warmonger journalism for the braindead. And just like with Bernie, Tulsi, and Yang the exact same media outlets here had the campaign ads already produced and rolling before the story even came out complete with quotes. And of course the accompanying re-reporting of the story of a dozen clones is immediate, each citing each other. BTW-- when you put quotes attributable to someone, as in the ads, aren't you supposed to have a cite for the "quote"? Have we changed that rule to help get the hip warmonger crowd into power? " I think all Mexican immigrants should be killed"...Buddy2. Can you prove you never said that? How disgusting of you. Do people realize 90% of media is owned by 6 mega-corporations and that 3 of the richest families in the US are media families? Thanks goodness the internet came along as cable/print media consolidated. We got the word at the DNC convention that Bernie, Tulsi, Yang voters weren't welcome in the party and this slimey Republican-type campaign just reinforces that people with morals and brains have no place in either of the two Republican parties. Trump's approvals are low and imitating exactly his type of dishonest campaign style is stupid. The "skeptical" half of the Democratic voters want policy positions on issues , not totally avoiding them with this National Enquirer stuff. There are 1000 reasons not to be for Trump, why make up lies and go with this as the narrative? Both parties are now molded and playing by Trump tactics and games instead of one being honest and reformer. We've got 2 more months of this poison and I fully expect it to spiral into a snakepit really fast. The DNC got $350 million from Wall Street and military contractors last month-thanks to Kamala and Buttigieg mostly, and have $ to buy all airwaves 24/7. And the consensus of young independents I deal with everyday is that the "Democrats" are becoming just as despicable as Trump and the GOP. It should be an almost-impossible task but this warmonger crowd running the DNC might pull off making Trump look dignified. That should have been an impossibility. Never underestimate the ability of the DNC elite to pull defeat out of certain victory. Here's part of the blowback from honest sympathetic intelligent people that this McCarthyite tactic invites: https://www.nbcnews.com/think/opinion/trump-came-dover-after-my-wife-was-killed-fighting-isis-ncna1239425 The days after my wife, Shannon Kent, was killed by a suicide bomber during a mission to fight ISIS in Syria in January 2019 had been such a blur and, anyway, I’d never met a president before... I find that platitudes about respect for our nation’s troops from leaders without a strategy to keep us from getting into pointless or unwinnable wars are the highest form of disrespect. Our troops and our nation deserve a president who has our best interests in mind, not just meaningless platitudes about our service meant to paint a rosy picture of war and destruction. And a photo you can print to enjoy of some of the tens of thousands of dark-skinned people we're constantly committing genocide on every day since the Bush/Biden genocide in Iraq of 1 million. The warmongers want more of this. A LOT more.
-
Professional bodybuilders are usually 24/7 looking for sponsors. It's a very expensive hobby with the proteins and special meals and a serious bodybuilder cannot usually work a job unless it's something like a fireman or a personal trainer. I'm not sure many really contemplate intimate encounters when always looking for sponsors and I'm not sure much past muscle worship would be available. Their dicks are usually small from drugs and their enormous diet means they are rarely "clean" everywhere. Also their bodies change enormously from when they are "bulking" to the few times they "shred" just before a competition. There are a couple I know well in Prague, both of whom are super nice guys and versatile and well-liked by guys here. When you "friend" one on Facebook or "follow" one on IG, you link through their friends to many more very easily. Two available Czech bodybuilder champions:
-
All spring and summer Trumpsters have had 1000+ boat flotilla parades off Florida, New Jersey, and other states. Today they tried it on a lake outside Austin and many ran into each other or got swamped and sank. (The police said it was too much alcohol). Dumbkirk
-
Brazil reopened to tourists
tassojunior replied to Riobard's topic in Latin America Men and Destinations
@Riobard My main reason for crossing Rio off my to-do list for the fall is the hospitals there if I got covid. I saw a listing of the best hospitals in Brazil and they were mostly in Sao Paulo with only, I think, one in Rio. And I suspect many Brazilian hospitals are nothing to write home about under the best of circumstances. -
It's official: Trump Is History, Says The Prediction Professor
tassojunior replied to stevenkesslar's topic in Politics
Im not impressed with the humanity of many politicians especially, but for two more months these type of "someone anonymous thinks they heard" are going to flow like a damn bursting. -
It's official: Trump Is History, Says The Prediction Professor
tassojunior replied to stevenkesslar's topic in Politics
As for Asians, at least Joe has Kamala to translate for him if he has to hop into a 7-11. Hispanics and Latinx are all over the board in Florida. There are 1 million new Puerto Rican Florida voters, many of whom are Black and some of those are Trump supporters. Ditto Black Cubans. Most Haitians aren't citizens but those who are vote Democratic. But the Central American Latinx who vote in Florida are somewhat divided. The South American and Central American wealthy enclaves around Miami are all GOP. I've seen estimates of Trump with 40% Latinx vote in Florida. -
It's official: Trump Is History, Says The Prediction Professor
tassojunior replied to stevenkesslar's topic in Politics
"Trumpism" is not just an American thing. Why do we always want to reinvent the wheel? World-wide it's the age of the nationalist/populists overthrowing the entrenched liberal corporate elite. They sing their own corny national anthems instead of the Marseillaise and there's no sound of guillotines going chop, chop but it's a radical transformation from the days when people trusted the educated elite corporate world to have their best interests at heart, not just their bank accounts. But crude as it is, it's populism, not authoritarianism. Playboy Donnie Trump is a weird figure to be out front as leader of this in the US for sure. The populist left reformers sometimes defeat the populist right and sometimes they ally with the liberal elite. But the liberal elite never returns to full power again. In the US the liberal elite is the 1% with incomes over $450,000/yr, the 90% of news outlets owned by 6 corporations, and other assorted interests serving the billionaire class. All those deplorable peasants in all those Obama-Obama-Trump districts keep trying to find a leader. If re-elected Trump will dump on them just like Obama did. -
It's official: Trump Is History, Says The Prediction Professor
tassojunior replied to stevenkesslar's topic in Politics
If there's much doubt we're pretty much where we were on this date in 2016: -
It's official: Trump Is History, Says The Prediction Professor
tassojunior replied to stevenkesslar's topic in Politics
@stevenkesslar You're old enough (like me) to remember when 1 state- Ohio- always chose the president. Be happy 3 states matter now.