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Timing is everything. From Business Insider Siam Premium Outlets Bangkok Announces Opening BANGKOK, June 19, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- Siam Premium Outlets® Bangkok, today celebrated its opening to mark the arrival of Thailand's first Premium Outlets®, bringing the world's most popular brand of outlet shopping to the Bangkok area, located only 15 minutes away from the international Suvarnabhumi Airport, easily accessible from Bangkok-Chonburi Motorway No.7 route, km. 23, exit 5, Lat Krabang. The center will join the family of Simon Premium Outlets properties around the world that represent some of the most iconic shopping destinations for residents and tourists, including Woodbury Common Premium Outlets in New York City; Gotemba Premium Outlets in Japan; Yeoju Premium Outlets in South Korea; and Johor Premium Outlets in Malaysia. Siam Premium Outlets Bangkok opens daily, from 10:00 - 21:00. Free shuttle bus service is available daily at Makkasan Airport Rail Link station.

Unfortunately there are no 100% accurate tests in detecting Covid-19. In the case of the test cited above (Abbott's "Now"), even if you use the low, 84% figure, that doesn't mean that 16 out of 100 randomly selected people who take the the test actually have Covid but were given a negative result. For that to happen, all 100 would have to have been infected. The infected rate varies greatly in the general population. Persons living in different cities and different regions can have widely different base infection rates. For example, I live in a community with a base infection rate of 11%. Assuming a 16% inaccuracy rate, 1.76 persons out of every random 100 in my community tested would get a false result . That's not ideal but as we learn more about the disease, we're being told not to expect 100% effectiveness in any tests, any vaccine or any treatment protocol. If you're testing patients in a clinical setting (i..e., those who come to a testing site because they have virus symptoms), the base infection rate is going to be significantly higher than if you tested a random group of people such as those you'd be testing before being allowed to board an aircraft. As much as I agree there are no easy answers in restoring global air travel, I persuaded that waiting for optimum conditions to come along is a bridge too far. For "optimum" conditions to exist, the disease would have to be eradicated by one or more medical or natural outcomes. And that just doesn't seem to be in the cards at the moment. Meanwhile, economies--and the lives that depend upon them--are at risk of being crippled. It seems to me, as more time passes more people are willing to accept increasing risk for financial survival or personal reasons. If I had to hazard a guess just how global travel gets going again, I think it's likely to be a result of demand. Surely the negotiations we see discussed daily in the news will be part of the process but they will evolve sooner rather than later.

Because the other guy in the bed has a true nature

Test results can be had on site (at the airport) within 5 minutes with equipment manufactured by Abbott Labs. They are in wide use. The big advantage of testing at point of departure is to ensure that all those on flight are negative. That should provide reassurance and comfort to passengers and flight crews alike. I can understand why many might find testing before departure from Thailand to be unnecessary, especially if your country will require you to self-quarantine upon return.

Could not agree with you any more on this count. Point of clarification: Source: Royal Thai Embassy, Washington D.C. Based on its trends analysis, the Ministry of Tourism has forecast that 41.1 million people will visit Thailand in 2019, and they will spend over $70 billion during their stays. Direct receipts from tourism contribute about 12 percent to Thailand’s gross domestic product, and indirect revenues push the figure closer to 20 percent. https://thaiembdc.org/2019/02/04/thailand-sets-new-tourism-record-with-over-38-million-arrivals/ If (according to the report in The Nation today) Thailand has now reached 25 days without a domestic case, and all five the new positive patients were returnees from Saudi Arabia, who could possibly be among the 10,000 still in quarantine? I agree that's a troubling and seemingly contradictory indicator. I join you in finding the government's continual leakage of plan proposals excruciating. But it is, after all, multiple government officials who are releasing this stuff. That gives any one the right to be critical. And maybe that's just their intent: run a plan up the flagpole and gauge the response.

It’s wishful thinking indeed. Thailand’s approach to restoring international travel has been disjointed, confusing and often contradictory. At least five agencies have proffered plans, all with slightly different requirements based on negotiated travel bubbles with other countries. Even if one succeeded in getting the PM’s blessing, it would not even come close restoring the jobs of the massively unemployed in the hospitality and entertainment industry or the many others who worked in associated sectors (transportation, retail sales, etc). Think about this. There are 50 international air carriers that fly into Thailand (according to Skyscanner). Imagine the logistical complexity of negotiating travel bubbles on that scale. What is needed is a simple solution that satisfies the major concerns of all parties (Thailand, air carriers, and nations those flights are departing from and returning to). So here’s my plan: The airlines -- Each airline must agree to test all passengers at the point of and day of departure. The cost of the test (about $100) is added to the cost of ticket. Tickets could be marketed as conditionally refundable, less cost of test and an administrative fee only if passenger fails the test. This guarantees that all those passengers entering Thailand have been tested and do not require quarantine on arrival. Transit airports (if applicable) – This would satisfy concerns of airports through which the passengers transit en route. Thailand – Thailand receives passengers tested within 24 hours of departure (and not the 72 hours that are required in all current Thai plans under consideration). As for insurance against Covid costs of a passenger who contracts the virus in country, Thailand would impose a health insurance surcharge (3000 bht ?) that would be tacked onto inbound flights. That would preclude the need for additional coverage that passengers would have to purchase prior to departure. Thailand could, of course, opt to waive the above requirements on ASEAN (and select other) nations it believes poses no threat from Covid 19. Nations receiving returning passengers – Thailand would agree to test, at point of departure, all returning passengers. That should satisfy nations the passengers are returning to along with any transit airports en route. These conditions would eliminate the need for negotiating individual bubbles and they would eliminate uncertainty at the point of arrival in Thailand. Passengers would be free to go where they wish and not confined to locations they don't care to visit. And--most important to Thailand--is restores jobs for legions of the unemployed without taking on added risk. The total additional cost would be in the vicinity of $200 per ticket, a small price to pay for the convenience.

This is the latest--and certainly not the last--of reopening travel proposal wheeled out by various government agencies. It targets selected resorts but ignores the the Big Mango where most travelers (well heeled and otherwise) want to go and where most of the unemployed and underemployed working classes reside. From Bangkok Post Thailand to turn away from mass tourism, target the wealthy The government's tourism-revival strategy is to target big spenders seeking privacy and social distancing in the Covid-19 era, rather than try to attract a large number of visitors, according to Tourism Minister Phiphat Ratchakitprakarn. The pandemic provides an opportunity to reset the sector, which had become reliant on Chinese groups and backpackers, he said in an interview with Bloomberg News. Once the country’s borders are reopened and so-called travel bubbles are agreed upon, marketing efforts will be geared toward wealthier individuals who want holidays with minimal risks. The government will initially allow a small number of arrivals, such as some business executives and medical tourists. It is also working with the travel industry to identify and invite individuals in target demographics, which will probably include previous visitors to luxury resorts in the islands of Phuket, Samui, Phangan and Phi Phi, the minister said. Phuket is “a prototype” because it has all the needed facilities. People may be required to pass Covid-19 screenings before traveling and upon arriving, choose a single resort island and remain for a minimum period of time. The “high-end visitors” will be able to travel freely while they’re on the island and be allowed to leave for home or other destinations in Thailand once the minimum 14 days have passed. The country plans to court such visitors, possibly during the winter months of November-February when European and American travelers seek out warmer climates, Mr Phiphat said. “One person can easily spend as much as five by staying at the finest hotels,” he said, adding that full and free travel should become a “thing of the past.” Mr Phiphat said Thailand sees the crisis as an opportunity to address problems that existed before the pandemic, including over-crowding at some beaches and temples and environmental destruction. In the quiet months without foreign travelers, sea turtles have returned to lay eggs on Thai beaches, pink dolphins have been seen frolicking with fishermen and manatees swam to shore to snack on sea grass, Phiphat said. “If we don’t use this chance to create the most benefit for the industry, Thailand will lose out,” he said. “This is an opportunity to reset the entire tourism system.”

You're hitting .333. That's good in any league.

From The Nation AI launches global petition for probe into Thai activist’s abduction Amnesty International is calling on people around the world to take urgent action by writing a petition addressed to Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen to ask for an “effective, thorough and transparent” investigation into the disappearance of Thai activist in exile, Wanchalearm Satsaksit. It is also urging calling on people to demand that Hun Sen honour the International Convention for the Protection of All Persons from Enforced Disappearance, which Cambodia is a party to. Wanchalearm is among nine Thai activists who sought sanctuary in neighbouring countries after the May 2014 coup and have gone missing in recent years. The bodies of two activists were found stuffed with concrete in the Mekong River in December 2018. Amnesty international has also voiced concern over the possibility that governments in neighbouring countries, including Cambodia, have colluded with Thailand in recent years in the forcible return of political dissidents wanted in their respective countries, who would face human rights violations if returned. This includes Cambodians who have fled persecution for the peaceful exercise of their right to freedom of expression. It also says that neighbouring countries, including Laos and Vietnam, have not exercised due diligence in investigating this pattern of abductions of Thai nationals whose extradition has been sought by Thailand. Wanchalearm, 37, was reportedly abducted on June 4 from a street in Phnom Penh. His sister said she was speaking to Wanchalearm on the phone at around 4.30pm when she heard him say “I can’t breathe”, and the line was abruptly cut. Security camera footage reportedly shows a black Toyota Highlander SUV departing from outside his condominium at around the same time. Like other missing activists, Wanchalearm’s whereabouts remain unknown. The activist faces charges of sedition in Thailand, the most recent filed in 2018 under the Computer Crime Act, alleging that he had posted anti-government material on a Facebook group called “Gu Tong Dai 100 Lan Jak Thaksin Nae Nae” (I will certainly receive 100 million from Thaksin). The Thai government reportedly sought his extradition from Cambodia and filed charges against him for failing to respond to a summons issued to many activists after the May 2014 military coup. TWanchalearm’s Facebook profile states he is in exile because he supports democracy.

From Khaosod English International Flights May Resume By September: Aviation Chief BANGKOK — International flights are likely to resume as late as September, a top civilian aviation regulator said Wednesday. Civil Aviation Authority of Thailand director Chula Sukmanop said none of the airlines he met had expressed interest in resuming their international flights by next month, when the order shutting down the country’s airspace is set to expire. He attributed the reluctance to uncertainty over the government’s policies on international travels. “I believe international flights will resume this September,” Chula said. “All of the airlines could not assess the demand for air traveling. They have to wait and see the situation by the end of this month.” Under the new regulations, air carriers are no longer required to leave empty seats between passengers, but passengers are still needed to wear face masks throughout the journey. Food and beverages may only be served on flights exceeding two hours and they must be prepared in a sealed container. Airlines are also required to prepare a space in the cabin to separate sick passengers from others, Chula said. Domestic flights were previously allowed to charge up almost twice the original fare since they had to leave many seats empty to ensure social distancing. The civil aviation chief expected the fares to be lower, thanks to the recent measures easing restrictions on traveling.

From Flight Global Singapore puts pause on Changi airport Terminal 5 project Singapore Changi Airport’s mega Terminal 5 project will be pushed back by at least two years, with a possible redesign in the works, amid uncertainty over the pace at which air travel demand will recover from the coronavirus outbreak. Transport minister Khaw Boon Wan says the Singapore government will “do a thorough study” on post-pandemic air travel demand and the design of Terminal 5. Khaw states: “We are confident that air traffic will return; the uncertainty is how quickly it will be. Analysts’ projections range from 2 to 5 years. We are doing our own study, in consultation with experts and stakeholders.” He adds: “We will do a thorough study on air travel demand and the design of [Terminal 5], including the possibility of redesigning certain parts to make sure air travel will be safe.” Changi Airport’s fifth passenger terminal was scheduled to be completed by 2030, and was to handle up to 50 million passengers annually in its initial phase. April traffic figures showed the airport handled only 25,200 passengers, a steep 99.5% decline year on year. In mid-May, it closed Terminal 4 indefinitely, owing to the small number of flights that were to operate out of the terminal. The airport shut Terminal 2 for 18 months at the start of May, in a bid to consolidate terminal operations amid falling passenger travel demand. The closure will allow planned upgrades at the terminal to be sped up and these could be completed by up to a year in advance.

From The Thaiger MP proposes legalising prostitution, sex toys to lower rape cases An MP of the Thai Civilised Party MP yesterday proposed make prostitution and adult toys legal in Thailand, to help stem what appears to be a rising tide of rape cases in the country. Mongkolkit Suksintharanon, one of Thailand’s wealthiest politicians is an adviser and a member of a House committee assigned to to tackle the problem of rape in the country. The idea has been floated and debated for years at the highest level of government but has always been shot down by conservative politicians. Mongkolkit says he plans on formally bringing up the idea again to the committee and the government as a whole. Prostitution has always been a taboo subject in Thailand, with some ultraconservative Thai leaders and law enforcement brass even going as far as to claim there is no prostitution in the kingdom, which stretches credulity and liberal leaders admit is simply not true. Instead prostitution is often viewed as the “elephant in the room,” with many leaders too embarrassed to discuss it or claiming they’ll “wipe out prostitution entirely.” Critics say this is impossible, unrealistic and ill advised. The suggestions come just a day after the Royal Thai Police raided a warehouse in Samut Prakan and discovered illegal sex toys valued at over one million baht. The House committee says it will consider all proposals to deal with sex crimes before submitting its own proposals for a new bill in July. Several high profile rape cases have been reported in Thai National media over the past several months.

From National Public Radio The Cost Of Thailand's Coronavirus Success: Despair ... And Suicide One of Bangkok's street vendors and his bicycle worker. So-called "informal workers" have suffered the loss of income in the wake of coronavirus lockdown measures. Patrick Brown for NPR From a small corner storefront in Bangkok, Suchart Prasomsu, 53, a rice dealer, leads a rescue team of 30 volunteers. They rush to car crashes or crime scenes. They also retrieve the bodies of those who died in their homes, and since the start of the pandemic, part of their job has become trying to prevent people from killing themselves. Sacks of rice are stacked among disinfectant tanks (used to clean the apartment of a neighbor who contracted COVID-19), Prasomsu's rescue diving suit (for when someone has jumped into the river), a Buddhist shrine, a cage of songbirds and his poodle, Lion. Parked outside is the Harley he uses to weave through Bangkok's traffic. His shortwave radios — one that picks up police reports in his riverside district and the other for the entire central region of Thailand — crackle in the background. Prasomsu has been a rescue volunteer for nearly 30 years. He says the reports of suicide have ticked up since the country announced a lockdown on March 26 in the effort to stop the spread of the novel coronavirus. He and his team have responded to at least 10 police reports of people who are publicly suicidal in his area. He talked to one young woman who nearly killed herself after losing her job at a factory. He remembers her because she backed away from the edge. Sometimes, he responds to a call and there's nothing left but a pair of flip-flops. It becomes a job for the divers to recover the body, Prasomsu said. "Then we can help by giving them a proper burial." The case and death rates from COVID-19 in Thailand are among the world's lowest, with about 3,100 confirmed cases and 58 deaths, as of Thursday. Thai epidemiologists say their health care system — one of the finest in the world — had a major role to play. So did a strict lockdown. But like many other countries, the measures to contain the virus have also caused mass disruptions as the economy came to a sudden stop. Shops, offices, malls, markets, factories, gyms, restaurants and bars were ordered to close. Domestic and international flights were grounded. People were ordered to stay home, and if they went outside, they were required to wear a mask. The few businesses that stayed open, like grocery stores, were required to do temperature checks at the door and squirted alcohol hand sanitizer into the hands of their customers. In May, the government began easing the restrictions, and as of mid-June, most businesses have been allowed to reopen. Dr. Varoth Chotpitayasunondh, a psychiatrist and spokesperson for the mental health department of Thailand's Ministry of Public Health, says that now the threat of COVID-19 is under control, the government is faced with a different public health challenge: "The next wave of the problem will be mental health." Continues with photos https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2020/06/16/874198026/the-cost-of-thailands-coronavirus-success-despair-and-suicide

From Bangkok Post Chinese tourists still hindered The Tourism Authority of Thailand's (TAT) China office is tempering enthusiasm that many Chinese tourists will visit in the second half this year as travel restrictions ease, as low Chinese purchasing power for outbound trips persists and an uptick in new infections emerges in Beijing. The surging unemployment rate of 6% or 27 million on the mainland remains a challenge as Thailand eagerly awaits its No.1 source market. Lerdchai Wangtrakoondee, director of TAT's Shanghai office, said after temporarily adopting new hygienic practices for months, the situation in China is returning to normal, although outbound tour operators are still on ice. He said the actual unemployment rate is expected to be more severe as the figures only count urban areas. "Spending power is weak and the cost of travel will be higher because of lower capacity in tourism services, such in fewer flight seats, so Thai tourism operators should be aware the market will be hobbled for some time," said Mr Lerdchai. He said Thailand will face tough competition from rivals eager to lure Chinese tourists back, led by the Maldives, which plans to lift travel restrictions to all nationalities in July. Singapore already opened its border to Chinese business travellers early this month. The TAT predicts two scenarios for the Chinese market. The best case is tourists will return to Thailand during Golden Week or the national holiday in October. In the worst case, Thailand has to wait until Chinese New Year in 2021, which will fall in February.

From Viet Nam News HCM City Party chief calls for announcing ‘end’ of Việt Nam pandemic, reviving economy HCM CITY — Việt Nam should announce “the end” of the COVID-19 pandemic in the country and “develop a roadmap to gradually resume trade relations with 17 partners,” HCM City Party Committee secretary Nguyễn Thiện Nhân has said. Speaking on Monday at a National Assembly meeting in Hà Nội on the socio-economic situation in the first half, he said Việt Nam has been able to contain the outbreak without any community infection for two months. “The rate of people infected per million in Việt Nam is very low, only 3.4. No more than one person per million (the current rate is 0.2 people) is being treated. Việt Nam has not reported any deaths due to the outbreak.” As soon as the first cases were detected, the country took more precautionary measures than recommended by the World Health Organisation, he pointed out. Based on these and recent developments in other countries, he suggested that the Government should consider resuming trade with 17 economic partners. “These are Việt Nam’s most important partners, accounting for 90 per cent of foreign investment, 80 per cent of international trade and 80 per cent of tourists.” The country should first develop a specific roadmap to revive trade with 10 partners, which are Japan, South Korea, mainland China, Taiwan, Thailand, Hong Kong, Germany, Australia, and the Virgin Islands (UK), he said. Other partners include India, the US, Russia, Singapore, the Netherlands, Indonesia, and Malaysia, he said. “We need to monitor further to see when it is safe to reopen trade relations with these partners because ‘these partners are not completely safe yet’.” According to official statistics, foreign investment in Việt Nam this year could fall by 30 per cent, tourism by 50 per cent and international trade by 18 per cent, Nhân added. Concurring with Nhân, NA deputy Lưu Bình Nhưỡng called on the NA to issue a resolution on economic recovery. “The most important is to revive the economy, which has been seriously impacted in recent months.” But Nguyễn Lân Hiếu, another deputy and director of Hà Nội’s Medical University Hospital, warned: “We need to be very careful about [linking up with] foreign economies because the risk of a second wave of infection is still high in many countries. For example, China is now showing signs of a second wave in some localities.” He added: "It is vital to do more scientific studies to ensure there is no second wave of the infection in Việt Nam.

From Coconuts Bangkok ‘Garden bridge’ across Bangkok’s Chao Phraya opens soon A rail bridge abandoned almost 30 years will get a new lease on life as an elevated garden overlooking the Chao Phraya River when it opens to the public later this month. Under construction for just over a year with a budget of THB122 million (US$3.9 million), the green pedestrian bridge dubbed Chao Phraya Sky Park will welcome visitors and pedestrians between the capital’s Samphanthawong and Thonburi districts. On Thursday, City Hall staffers and volunteers placed some plants at what’s marketed as the world’s first garden bridge. The mid-river garden and observation deck spans 8.5 meters by 280 meters atop the Phra Pok Klao Bridge. A short distance from the Memorial Bridge, aka Saphan Phut, the former rail bridge was never used. Its tracks were for the unfinished Lavalin Skytrain project, which began in 1984 and was abandoned in 1992 due to funding problems. The project is a collaboration between the Bangkok Metropolitan Administration and Chulalongkorn University’s Urban Design and Development Center. Elevated greenway projects have become en vogue in cities around the world, such as New York City’s High Line, which opened atop former railway land in 2009. London last year abandoned a similar Garden Bridge project over the Thames River after spending GBP53 million (THB 2 billion).

From Khaosod English Makkasan Museum Honors Laborers Forgotten by Official History BANGKOK — A museum located in the old trainyard area of Makkasan is one of the best kept secrets for those wanting to learn more about the very people who built Thailand – not kings and the elite, but the working class. The Thai Labour Museum leads visitors through the stories of the suffering, exploitation, and struggles of Thailand’s workers and laborers, from a crackdown on labor activists in the past to the present days safety issues. “The Labor Museum enables people to recognize the values of workers,” museum curator and former factory worker Wasana Lamdee said. It’s a low-budget museum with no air conditioner and entrance fees. The museum was built with the seed money from the Friedrich Ebert Foundation, a German political foundation supporting labor movements worldwide. Its land is loanded by the union of the State Railway of Thailand. Consisting of seven small exhibition rooms, the museum starts with reminding visitors that laborers in Siam, as it was known in the early days of Bangkok, were tattooed on their wrists so others can identify their masters. The identification also made it easy to catch fugitive workers and bring them back to their “employers.” Slaves were also a common source of labor. Displayed at the museum is a slave contract signed during the early reign of King Rama V. The monarch eventually abolished slavery in 1900. In Room 4, we are told of Thawat Rittidet, a little-known figure from the working class whose role in the 1932 democratic revolt outsizes his reputation. Recognized by the museum as Thailand’s first “labor hero,” Thawat founded a newspaper for workers and formed groups to protect laborers’ rights, years before modern labor unions were introduced. Room 5 is dedicated to Allied prisoners of war forced by the Japanese to build the Death Railway across River Kwai during the Second World War. The harsh conditions and abuses by Japanese soldiers led to at least 180,000 deaths among the captives. Other exhibitions show the labor movement evolving through the Cold War military dictatorship and modern autocrats. We learned of labor leader Thanong Pho-an, who stood against the military coup of February 1991. He was abducted in June that year and never seen again . But perhaps the most poignant display in the museum is a pile of scorched dolls recovered from a toy factory fire in 1993 that killed 188 workers, most of them women. Investigators said many victims perished in the flame because doors were chained to prevent theft, and no alarm system was installed. “The factory owner fled back home to Hong Kong and was never prosecuted,” Wasana said. “Only the architect ends up in prison.” With so many issues left unresolved that still haunt Thai workers today, from union rights to fire hazard, the museum is truly a window to the past and present. Additional writing Teeranai Charuvastra Thai Labour Museum is located on Makkasan Road, close to Makkasan Railway Station. It is open from 10am to 4pm from Wednesday to Sunday. The museum is temporarily closed due to coronavirus infections but will re-open in mid-July. Entry is free but donation is appreciated. Call 02-251-3173 for details.

From The Nation Thailand will be very choosy about who can visit, insists Anutin Only countries that have not had a severe outbreak of Covid-19 will be made part of Thailand’s “travel bubble” and the Kingdom will restrict the type of travellers allowed into the country, Public Health Minister Anutin Charnvirakul said on Monday (June 15). He added that guidelines on the situation will be released by the government’s Centre for Covid-19 Situation Administration and clarified to the public. “I have spoken with the ambassadors of Singapore, New Zealand, China and South Korea. We have to see which nationalities Thais are happy to welcome, as well as consider the state of the economy and people’s livelihoods,” the minister said.

The current Stickman Bangkok column is dedicated to an interview with the curator of the Patpong Museum. it includes a few bombshells: an imminent, Twlight-like destiny for Soi 4 along with Silom sois 1 and 2. https://www.stickmanbangkok.com/weekly-column/2020/06/the-curator-talks-patpong/

I've placed these two items in the same post because I believe they represent two different views about what may actually happen over the next six months or less. One describes two polls of public opinion while the other reflects on the position in which the Bank of Thailand finds itself. I'm inclined to think the latter may be more predictive of how things progress on the ground than the former. From The Examiner Thai public says No to foreign tourism and also predicts 1 to 2 years for travel to return to normal The Civil Aviation Authority is to begin talks this week to open outbound flights limited to business people while the Thai public gives the thumbs down to foreign tourism with 74% saying it will be at least one year before international travel into Thailand returns to normal. Another poll shows over 82% wanting to see pubs remaining closed at this time. The news and negative sentiment is rattling news for foreigners who regularly travel to Thailand or have links with the kingdom. Opinion polls published on Sunday in Thailand will make dismaying reading for foreigners interested in travelling to the country over the next few months. The first was a Suan Dusit poll which showed 76% saying No to foreign tourism at this time. The same poll showed that a combined figure of 74% of respondents saw external tourism only returning to normal in Thailand in the next one to two years. The Thai government made it clear this week as it announced the end of the curfew, that tough restrictions will remain on inbound travel into the kingdom. This comes even as the Civil Aviation Authority next week enters into talks with airlines in Thailand on the opening up of international outbound flights. This all comes as opinion polls published on Sunday show that the Thai public is decidedly against letting foreigners gain access to the kingdom again for tourism. A commanding three out of four majority or nearly 76% answered ‘No’ when asked if Thailand’s borders should be open again to incoming foreigners. The survey was conducted in the three days up to Friday the 12th of June as the Thai government floated proposals on travel bubbles with safe countries and began to consider the reopening of pubs and wet massage parlour venues as part of its fourth and final stage of the current domestic reopening process. Only 24% of those who responded in the poll said the government should open the kingdom to foreigners to allow the country’s hard-pressed and suffering tourism economy to return to normality and begin generating much-needed income. The Suan Dusit poll had a sample of 1,116 adults from across the country and was conducted by Suan Dusit Rajabhat University in Bangkok. Acombined total of 74% said it would take at least one year for tourism to return to normal after the virus emergency with 32.7% suggesting it would be two years or even more. A combined total of 67.3%, however, saw tourism activity returning to normal in the next six months to a year. The biggest block of respondents comprised 41.3% of those polled who said that it would take one year for this to happen while 25.9% envisaged 6 months. A full 32.7% of people said the return to tourism normality may take two years or more with 20.52 % suggesting two years and 12.18% plumping for over two years. Another poll on Sunday did seem to indicate that the public was less in fear of the virus with nearly 52% responding that they did not now worry about the threat. Only 33.29% of people surveyed had some concerns with a further 12.91% expressing real fear of the threat. This opinion poll was carried out by NIDA or the National Institute of Development Administration on June 8th and June 9th with a sample size of 1,270 made up of Thai people over 15 from a range of educational backgrounds and socio-economic levels. The poll showed a sharp level of opposition to the reopening of public bars or entertainment venues with 82.2% opposed alongside nearly 79% of who wanted to see massage parlours remaining shuttered. The opinion polls and recent government pronouncements suggest strongly that the Covid 19 virus has resulted in a shift or change in conditions for many western foreigners who travel regularly to Thailand which will extend at least into the next six months and possibly longer. ======================================================================================================== From The Nation BOT insists its Bt6 trillion liability will not turn into public debt, but history says otherwise The Bank of Thailand (BOT)’s obligation worth Bt6 trillion will not translate into public debt as feared by many, the central bank insists, though the explanation it has offered is far from clear. Chantawan Sutcharitkul, BOT’s assistant governor, said on Friday (June 12) that many people misunderstood the central bank’s balance sheet, which shows it has liabilities worth Bt6 trillion. The central bank’s debts come from its normal market operations – when there is liquidity flooding into the market, the central bank issues bonds to manage the financial market and when the market faces tight liquidity, the central bank reduces the issuing of bonds in order to inject liquidity back into the market, she said. “The central bank also buys foreign currency when there is a large capital inflow into the Kingdom, so while the bank has obligations, it also has large assets in the form of foreign currencies,” she added. “Debts that appear in the central bank’s financial statement cannot be counted as public debts. It is standard practice by central banks across the world,” she said reassuringly. However, she did not explain how things are different this time compared to the past, when the central bank wrongly defended the baht, resulting in a financial crisis and a currency debacle in 1997-1998. At that time, the central bank depleted international reserves as part of a currency war, when speculators began selling out the baht heavily, forcing the central bank to abandon its fixed exchange rate and the country to borrow emergency funds from the International Monetary Fund. The consequence of the huge damages stemming from the central bank’s foreign exchange fiasco and subsequent efforts to rescue financial institutions later turned into public debts.

From Bangkok Post Ban on overseas entry to stay From Monday, there will be no night curfew, but strict controls under the emergency decree will continue to be enforced especially on entry into Thailand because Covid-19 is still present in other countries, a senior government spokesman announced on Friday. Taweesilp Visanuyothin, spokesman of the Centre for Covid-19 Situation Administration (CCSA), said the curfew would be lifted on June 15 to allow local people to travel, because there had been no cases of local coronavirus infection for some time now. However, the emergency decree remains in effect and the government would maintain controls on all entry -- by land, water and air -- because all new Covid-19 patients were people returning from other countries, he said. Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha said that when the fourth stage of relaxation takes effect from Monday, he hoped that it will reinvigorate the economy and more people will go back to work. "I have sympathy for people on low incomes. I believe they will earn more money after the lockdown easing on June 15. The government cannot afford to find money to look after people forever," the prime minister said.

From Khaosod English Officials Say Temples Can Deny Entry to Foreigners, Because Virus BANGKOK — A popular temple in Bangkok shut its doors to foreigners, including expats who have been residing in Thailand for years, citing anti-coronavirus precaution. “ONLY THAI PEOPLE, NOW NOT OPEN FOR FOREIGNERS,” announced a sign in front of Wat Pho, known internationally as the Temple of the Reclining Buddha. The temple reopened on June 5 yet reserved entry to Thai nationals only, a gesture criticized as racial discrimination. “We aren’t ready for foreign visitors yet,” said a temple caretaker answering the phone Thursday. “We don’t know how long this will last.” When asked why Thais were allowed and not foreigners, he said that these were “the temple regulations.” Officials reached for comment said they considered the policy as legal. “COVID-19 is not stable yet. The temple can do it if they’re scared,” Bangkok Metropolitan Administration’s deputy clerk Sompong Wiengkaew said. “It’s up to each temple what measures they want to implement.” Tourism ministry spokesman Narit Kanjanopas said that tourist destinations should wait for further clarification on allowing foreigners in. “Some temples smay allow but some may not; each temple can manage their own rules,” Narit said. But the rule left the expat community in Thailand seething with outrage since not every foreigner in Thailand is a tourist. Many also protested the measure treating non-Thais as potential virus carriers, since a significant number of foreigners have been inside the country and never left since the outbreak began. “Are you serious? Banning foreigners is extremely discriminatory and everyone is saying you are racist,” Facebook user Jason R. Hofer wrote in a comment to the temple’s announcement. “You cannot just assume someone has a disease because of their nationality.” British blogger and longtime expat Richard Barrow posted on Thursday that he had gone to Wat Pho to pay his respects, but was not allowed in despite having residence in Thailand. The temple also said that Thai visitors must wear masks before entering and have a temperature lower than 37.5. Only 30 visitors are allowed in at a time. But photos posted by the temple show dozens of monks seated together inside Wat Pho on June 3, when they held a ceremony celebrating Queen Suthida’s birthday. The historic temple wasn’t alone in maintaining a no-foreigner policy amid the coronavirus pandemic. Buses operated by The Transport Co., which resumed their inter-provincial services, also announced that they would not allow foreigners to board. The company said passengers must show their Thai ID cards for tracking virus purposes, and passports are not acceptable. Many other businesses and landmarks that reopened under “Phase 3” of coronavirus lockdown easing do not have problems with admitting foreigners, however. The Grand Palace, for instance, has been open to both Thais and foreigners since June 7, though the site still practices the “double pricing,” which charges non-Thai 500 baht for entry. Wat Arun or Temple of the Dawn, another landmark temple across the river, is also open to everyone regardless of their nationality. A temple caretaker who picked up the phone today said the temple has hygiene and social distancing measures in place, but group tours are not permitted at the moment due to overcrowding concerns. ==================================================================================================================================== From The Thaiger Transport Company resumes service, bans foreigners The wheels on the bus go round and round. But not for foreigners living in Thailand. It’s now official. If you’re a foreigner you won’t be allowed on intercity buses operated by the state owned Transport Company, under the auspices of the Thai Ministry of Transport. They announced today that foreigners are banned from its services due to the Emergency Decree. Although services have resumed on most of their routes across the country, foreign travellers are not allowed to board because they do not have Thai national ID cards. Well that’s the official excuse according to a service agent. Asked whether passports can be used instead, the agent said “no”. “It’s the company policy, sorry for any inconvenience.” The company also announced on its website that it reserves the right to book tickets for Thai nationals only, citing an unspecified clause of the Emergency Decree. Private operators Nakhonchai Air and Sombat Tour say foreigners are welcome on board. But Thaiger has had four messages in the past week saying they were unable to buy tickets or board Sombat Tour buses. This message from a New Zealand expat who tried to board a Sombat Tour bus last week. “I wanted to go and visit my friend in Bangkok and she went ahead and booked a ticket from Chiangmai to Bangkok. The next morning I got a call from the company saying foreigners are not allowed on the bus. I am deeply offended by this discrimination. I have been in Thailand well before Covid arrived. Does this mean I can’t travel on planes also?” The State Railway of Thailand says foreigners are also welcome to board long distance trains.

From South China Morning Post Which parts of Asia are easing coronavirus travel curbs? Most tourist hotspots in Asia remain out of bounds this summer as international travel remains restricted, but some countries including China are making special arrangements for business travellers. Even once mass travel does return, however, tourists won’t accept long coronavirus quarantines – but testing is likely to be part of the deal, on both ends of the trip. Here are the latest developments as of June 11: Continues with information on Australia/New Zealand, Cambodia, China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Philippines, Russia, Singapore, South Korea, Thailand, Taiwan and Vietnam. https://www.scmp.com/news/asia/article/3088575/which-parts-asia-are-easing-coronavirus-travel-curbs

From Channel News Asia Thailand's real estate market has been badly affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. For developers who relied heavily on Chinese buyers, Thailand's international flight ban means investors from China are almost non-existent. Meanwhile, developers are making their deals more attractive to entice local buyers. Our CNA correspondent May Wong reports from Bangkok. Continues with video https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/videos/thailand-s-property-market-hurt-by-covid-19-pandemic-video-12816658

From Taiwan News Taiwan to require all foreign visitors take PCR test TAIPEI (Taiwan News) — After Taiwan opens its borders to travelers, they will be required to pass a polymerase chain reaction (PCR) test for the Wuhan coronavirus (COVID-19) before they will be allowed to enter the country, the Central Epidemic Command Center (CECC) announced on Monday (June 8). During a press conference on Monday, Minister of Health and Welfare and CECC head Chen Shih-chung (陳時中) said that when Taiwan eases its border controls, foreign visitors will be required to test negative in a PCR test before they can enter the country. In addition, after entering Taiwan, Chen said that they will also be subject to follow-up testing and self-health management measures, depending on the activities that they engage in while in the country. Some question the CECC's claim that the key to borders reopening is the wearing of masks by Taiwanese and argue that the key should be a better border testing system. Chen responded by saying that airport testing has its effectiveness, but cannot guarantee that 100 percent of people carrying the virus will be detected. Chen said whether looking at the experience of other countries or Taiwan, both are the same. Taiwan's quarantine staff spotted about 100 confirmed cases, but another 100 were discovered during home isolation, while others tested positive after completing their 14-day quarantine. The CECC head said that successful detection requires several layers of screening, and there is no way to succeed in epidemic prevention with a single method. Only careful inspection at all stages will ensure the prevention of the spread of the disease. "When foreigners want to open up [Taiwan's borders], they must test negative with the PCR test," said Chen, according to ETtoday. He said that CECC will not implement mass testing on Taiwanese entering the country from abroad because the government is obligated to treat them if they are infected. However, Chen said the government is not obligated to treat infected foreign travelers. He said that if sick foreign passengers are allowed to enter without screening, they could quickly start a local outbreak. In order to prevent foreign nationals from spreading the disease in Taiwan, Chen said that testing is a key line of defense that must be maintained at airports.