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The "going for herd immunity"-strategy is limited by the health system, one limiting factor is the number of intensive care units. You don't want the number of people needing intensive care to be higher than the available units. If you consider this, for example for germany there is a modelling that shows that R0 = 1.25 is still too high (in german: https://www.dgepi.de/assets/Stellungnahmen/Stellungnahme2020Corona_DGEpi-21032020-v2.pdf), and it would still take at least one year until heard immunity. That means all over 2020 there must be some kind of restrictions, hopefully not that strict as we have them now in many countries, and I fear that free travel between countries is the last thing we will get back. Everyone is hoping for the vaccination!

From Coconuts Bangkok The infamous beach town of Pattaya may seal itself off for three weeks starting Thursday. District chief Amnat Sricharoenannounced Tuesday that he has petitioned the provincial governor to close Pattaya’s borders to all transportation for 21 days starting Thursday to stem the COVID-19 pandemic. The popular gulf enclave is home to many foreigners, and its high numbers of commercial sex workers make it a premier destination for sex tourists. Pattaya has seen 23 confirmed cases of COVID-19 with one Russian national dying of the disease on April 1. Amnat said stricter measures, if approved, would include a travel lockdown on people coming or going for at least 21 days, with exceptions for needed deliveries. Drivers transporting necessary goods would be required to show identification and/or authorized documents at checkpoints. Pattaya’s usually raucous nightlife has already gone quiet under an overnight curfew. Thailand is under a state of emergency that allows governors to unilaterally issue orders to stem the spread of the virus. https://www.bangkokpost.com/thailand/general/1893510#cxrecs_s

Without Dr. Fauci and politicians such as governors Cuomo and Newsom, the US would be supporting spurious cures touted by Rudy Guiliani in order to get people back to playing Trump golf courses and filling football stadiums. The best thing about President Trump's daily campaign rally/virus update is that it reminds me it's time for my daiy walk. I keep hoping for a clear opportunity to plan my next trip to Thailand. Vinapu and Reader know I planned for late May...now? Many of the boys I know and am concerned for have headed home to Vietnam and Cambodia...and most have been quarantined in their home countries. They text that they's like to return to work, but now sure what that means or will mean? Sorry...I'm drifting into a rambling rant about lost habits and opportunities.

You are asking questions of a guy who has not posted here for 14 months!